Sat, Jan 24, 2026·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Columbus Blue Jackets 8
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 78% of the time.
71%
15%
CBJ winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −4 | 3 | 27:36 | 0.15 | 44.7% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 26:56 | 0.10 | 39.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 3 | 22:43 | 0.37 | 65.6% | +50.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 21:53 | 0.00 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | −1 | 4 | 19:03 | 0.36 | 35.9% | +28.9 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 18:04 | 0.07 | 39.9% | +35.4 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17:23 | 0.18 | 46.5% | +35.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:20 | 0.07 | 33.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:45 | 0.00 | 31.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 15:58 | 0.47 | 36.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 15:40 | 0.03 | 27.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:25 | 0.10 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:04 | 0.05 | 28.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:02 | 0.02 | 53.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:49 | 0.02 | 32.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:53 | 0.00 | 56.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 4:59 | 0.02 | 50.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 4:23 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 29 | 23 | 6 | .793 | 2.23 | −3.8 | 57:54 |
Columbus Blue Jackets
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 26:35 | 0.32 | 72.6% | +38.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26:16 | 0.01 | 89.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 1 | 23:38 | 0.04 | 45.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 23:23 | 0.02 | 23.5% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 17:35 | 0.16 | 51.6% | +19.4 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 17:26 | 0.30 | 43.8% | +33.1 | |
| 3 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 3 | 17:23 | 1.40 | 49.1% | +58.6 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 2 | 17:13 | 0.25 | 63.9% | +51.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:58 | 0.00 | 55.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:43 | 0.16 | 55.9% | +13.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:26 | 0.23 | 76.5% | +1.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:12 | 0.00 | 73.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 13:08 | 0.31 | 76.4% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:04 | 0.00 | 56.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:01 | 0.05 | 76.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 12:46 | 0.34 | 73.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:06 | 0.01 | 63.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:34 | 0.06 | 65.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 25 | 5 | .833 | 2.03 | −3.0 | 60:00 |