Sun, Jan 25, 2026·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Vegas Golden Knights 1, Ottawa Senators 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 63% of the time.
54%
9%
9%
28%
OTT winsVGK wins
Vegas Golden Knights
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 22:00 | 0.04 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:17 | 0.00 | 46.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:33 | 0.05 | 28.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:38 | 0.22 | 30.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:35 | 0.35 | 42.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:59 | 0.29 | 51.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:41 | 0.04 | 20.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 17:40 | 0.50 | 37.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:36 | 0.00 | 32.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:35 | 0.10 | 34.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 15:37 | 0.00 | 39.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 15:16 | 0.14 | 49.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:34 | 0.21 | 56.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:10 | 0.21 | 50.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 1 | 12:45 | 0.07 | 8.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:23 | 0.21 | 45.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 0 | 12:04 | 0.00 | 23.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 11:38 | 0.02 | 28.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 32 | 25 | 7 | .781 | 3.24 | −3.8 | 59:59 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 22:55 | 0.12 | 59.7% | +2.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:21 | 0.14 | 72.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 19:46 | 0.10 | 46.6% | +7.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:42 | 0.05 | 75.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 18:56 | 0.11 | 66.4% | +7.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 18:24 | 0.01 | 56.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:39 | 0.13 | 57.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:38 | 0.06 | 46.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:30 | 0.09 | 59.9% | +2.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:31 | 0.39 | 69.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 16:13 | 0.12 | 72.1% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:33 | 0.08 | 69.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 15:04 | 0.11 | 70.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 14:48 | 0.37 | 77.0% | +21.7 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 5 | 13:45 | 0.77 | 79.4% | +14.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 12:26 | 0.14 | 45.0% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 11:10 | 0.09 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 3 | 7:39 | 0.36 | 50.5% | +17.5 |
| W | 20 | 19 | 1 | .950 | 2.46 | +1.5 | 60:00 |