Tue, Jan 27, 2026·Centre Bell, Montreal
Vegas Golden Knights 2, Montréal Canadiens 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 75% of the time.
19%
68%
MTL winsVGK wins
Vegas Golden Knights
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 26:00 | 0.18 | 50.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 24:19 | 0.09 | 42.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 23:00 | 1.17 | 55.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22:49 | 0.19 | 65.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 4 | 22:26 | 0.27 | 76.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:22 | 0.16 | 79.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:51 | 0.01 | 37.0% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 8 | 19:16 | 1.08 | 85.1% | +60.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:54 | 0.72 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:20 | 0.05 | 36.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:40 | 0.13 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 15:26 | 0.41 | 71.1% | +45.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:13 | 0.00 | 47.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:44 | 0.10 | 41.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:14 | 0.02 | 38.5% | +45.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:27 | 0.00 | 4.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 5:33 | 0.00 | 4.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 5:18 | 0.06 | 16.9% | 0.0 |
| O | 26 | 23 | 3 | .885 | 2.96 | 0.0 | 63:58 |
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 25:04 | 0.09 | 32.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 24:25 | 0.04 | 61.1% | +24.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 21:23 | 0.01 | 44.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 20:41 | 0.13 | 60.6% | +24.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:42 | 0.01 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 19:27 | 0.39 | 60.5% | +24.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:23 | 0.40 | 54.0% | +50.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:17 | 0.20 | 56.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:54 | 0.20 | 23.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:45 | 0.33 | 62.2% | +50.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:23 | 0.30 | 24.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:16 | 0.18 | 26.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:12 | 0.14 | 54.7% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:05 | 0.20 | 56.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:34 | 0.13 | 58.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:12 | 0.07 | 61.5% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:04 | 0.15 | 75.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 8:16 | 0.00 | 22.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 34 | 32 | 2 | .941 | 4.65 | +2.6 | 63:47 |