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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 29, 2026·Lenovo Center, Raleigh

Utah Mammoth 4, Carolina Hurricanes 5

Away

Utah Mammoth

4

Final

Home

Carolina Hurricanes

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 62% of the time.

CAR winsUTA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:36Shot by But, saved by Bussi
  3. P1 3:02Shot by Chatfield, saved by Vejmelka
  4. P1 3:04Goal by Svechnikov, unassisted+12 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Slavin, Aho, Chatfield, Svechnikov, Jarvis · UTA Schmidt, Schmaltz, Crouse, Marino, Keller

  5. P1 4:11Shot by But, saved by Bussi
  6. P1 5:24Shot by Kotkaniemi, saved by Vejmelka
  7. P1 6:46Shot by Jarvis, saved by Vejmelka
  8. P1 6:58Shot by Cole, saved by Bussi
  9. P1 8:37Shot by Walker, saved by Vejmelka
  10. P1 9:58Shot by Miller, saved by Vejmelka
  11. P1 10:14Shot by Hayton, saved by Bussi
  12. P1 10:28Shot by Ehlers, saved by Vejmelka
  13. P1 11:32Shot by Nikishin, saved by Vejmelka
  14. P1 17:47Shot by Stankoven, saved by Vejmelka
  15. P1 18:17Shot by Yamamoto, saved by Bussi
  16. P1 18:33Shot by Yamamoto, saved by Bussi
  17. P1 18:45Shot by McBain, saved by Bussi
  18. P1 18:46Shot by Carcone, saved by Bussi
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:11Schmaltz: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Slavin, Aho, Chatfield, Svechnikov, Jarvis · UTA Schmidt, Schmaltz, Crouse, Marino, Keller

  22. P2 1:27Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Vejmelka5v4
  23. P2 2:26Shot by Cole, saved by Bussi
  24. P2 3:18Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Vejmelka
  25. P2 3:56Shot by Miller, saved by Vejmelka
  26. P2 4:10Goal by Yamamoto (McBain)+22 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Jankowski, Gostisbehere, Carrier, Kotkaniemi, Nikishin · UTA Sergachev, Carcone, Yamamoto, Durzi, McBain

  27. P2 4:49Shot by Stenlund, saved by Bussi
  28. P2 5:04Shot by Sergachev, saved by Bussi
  29. P2 5:06Shot by Crouse, saved by Bussi
  30. P2 5:30Shot by Keller, saved by Bussi
  31. P2 5:45Shot by Crouse, saved by Bussi
  32. P2 6:03Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Bussi
  33. P2 6:26Shot by Chatfield, saved by Vejmelka
  34. P2 7:20Shot by Stankoven, saved by Vejmelka
  35. P2 8:22Shot by DeSimone, saved by Bussi
  36. P2 8:24Goal by Yamamoto (DeSimone, Carcone)+18 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Hall, Walker, Miller, Stankoven, Blake · UTA Cole, Carcone, Yamamoto, DeSimone, McBain

  37. P2 11:45Shot by Sergachev, saved by Bussi
  38. P2 13:36Shot by Slavin, saved by Vejmelka
  39. P2 13:45Shot by Aho, saved by Vejmelka
  40. P2 14:19Shot by Hayton, saved by Bussi
  41. P2 14:36Sergachev: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Jankowski, Carrier, Walker, Miller, Kotkaniemi · UTA Sergachev, Carcone, Yamamoto, Durzi, McBain

  42. P2 15:53Shot by Hall, saved by Vejmelka5v4
  43. P2 16:24Stenlund: Cross checking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CAR Hall, Ehlers, Nikishin, Stankoven, Blake · UTA Cole, Schmidt, Crouse, Stenlund

  44. P2 17:24Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Vejmelka5v4
  45. P2 17:36Goal by Gostisbehere (Svechnikov, Jarvis)5v4+20 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Jankowski, Gostisbehere, Aho, Svechnikov, Jarvis · UTA Schmidt, Crouse, Marino, McBain

  46. P2 17:55Goal by Peterka (Hayton)+20 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Martinook, Slavin, Carrier, Chatfield · UTA Sergachev, Durzi, Hayton, Peterka, But

  47. P2 19:45Svechnikov: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Slavin, Aho, Chatfield, Svechnikov, Jarvis · UTA Cole, Schmaltz, Crouse, Keller, Sergachev

  48. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 4:59Shot by Chatfield, saved by Vejmelka
  51. P3 6:00Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Bussi
  52. P3 6:17Shot by Yamamoto, saved by Bussi
  53. P3 7:11Goal by Carcone (McBain, Yamamoto)+16 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Hall, Gostisbehere, Nikishin, Stankoven, Blake · UTA Schmidt, Marino, Carcone, Yamamoto, McBain

  54. P3 7:29Shot by Walker, saved by Vejmelka
  55. P3 7:45Walker: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Staal, Martinook, Ehlers, Walker, Miller · UTA Sergachev, Durzi, Hayton, Peterka, But

  56. P3 7:54Shot by Staal, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  57. P3 10:04Shot by Nikishin, saved by Vejmelka
  58. P3 11:05Shot by Aho, saved by Vejmelka
  59. P3 11:55Shot by Hayton, saved by Bussi
  60. P3 14:42Hayton: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: CAR Staal, Martinook, Ehlers, Walker, Miller · UTA Schmidt, Marino, Hayton, Peterka, But

  61. P3 15:17Shot by Jarvis, saved by Vejmelka5v4
  62. P3 17:50Shot by Ehlers, saved by Vejmelka6v4
  63. P3 18:01Goal by Svechnikov (Gostisbehere, Ehlers)6v4+8 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Jankowski, Gostisbehere, Ehlers, Aho, Svechnikov, Jarvis · UTA Cole, Schmaltz, Sergachev, McBain

  64. P3 18:12Shot by Blake, saved by Vejmelka
  65. P3 18:33Goal by Gostisbehere (Blake, Slavin)6v5+38 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Hall, Gostisbehere, Slavin, Aho, Blake · UTA Schmidt, Crouse, Marino, Stenlund, Keller

  66. P3 18:57Shot by Chatfield, saved by Vejmelka
  67. P3 19:30Goal by Staal (Martinook, Chatfield)+52 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Martinook, Slavin, Ehlers, Chatfield · UTA Sergachev, Carcone, Yamamoto, Durzi, McBain

  68. P3 19:46Shot by Aho, saved by Vejmelka
  69. P3 19:55Shot by Chatfield, saved by Vejmelka
  70. P3 0:00Period end
  71. P3 0:00Final