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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 29, 2026·Lenovo Center, Raleigh

Utah Mammoth 4, Carolina Hurricanes 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 62% of the time.

CAR winsUTA wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against UTA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Schmaltz–Crouse–KellerCarcone–Yamamoto–McBainHayton–Peterka–ButO'Brien–Stenlund–TanevO'Brien–Stenlund–KellerYamamoto–McBain–PeterkaSchmidt–MarinoSergachev–DurziCole–DeSimoneCole–SergachevMarino–Durzi
Aho–Svechnikov–Jarvis6:460.58–0.140:330.00–0.001:040.13–0.003:180.56–0.095:440.28–0.250:500.00–0.00
Hall–Stankoven–Blake6:290.18–0.771:500.00–0.000:300.00–0.004:350.00–0.433:010.18–0.002:050.06–0.33
Staal–Martinook–Ehlers1:200.33–0.006:000.04–0.380:420.02–0.003:150.00–0.282:340.30–0.082:590.10–0.17
Jankowski–Carrier–Kotkaniemi1:110.00–0.380:390.00–0.104:050.24–0.171:310.22–0.002:290.00–0.473:140.02–0.09
Staal–Martinook–Carrier0:360.16–0.000:360.16–0.00
Walker–Miller0:430.00–0.002:530.18–0.346:210.13–0.361:510.02–0.080:540.00–0.005:310.08–0.114:560.36–0.084:290.05–0.58
Slavin–Chatfield8:080.74–0.141:300.29–0.002:000.04–0.080:320.02–0.005:210.64–0.256:160.43–0.261:350.02–0.000:410.00–0.00
Gostisbehere–Nikishin1:080.00–0.384:460.05–0.524:140.07–0.093:430.07–0.434:060.00–0.523:390.18–0.01
Chatfield–Nikishin0:300.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndAho FJarvis FSvechnikov FStankoven FBlake FHall FStaal FEhlers FMartinook FCarrier FJankowski FKotkaniemi FChatfield DSlavin DGostisbehere DNikishin DMiller DWalker DBussi GSchmaltz FKeller FCrouse FMcBain FCarcone FYamamoto FBut FHayton FPeterka FTanev FO'Brien FStenlund FMarino DSchmidt DDurzi DSergachev DCole DDeSimone DVejmelka G
CARUTAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Mikhail SergachevUTA2724:290:541:37210
John MarinoUTA2721:420:482:0212
Sebastian AhoCAR2621:150:491:2881
Nate SchmidtUTA2820:440:441:3614
Shayne GostisbehereCAR1920:241:042:2760
Andrei SvechnikovCAR2419:590:501:2681
Jalen ChatfieldCAR2419:560:501:3142
Seth JarvisCAR2519:500:481:2781
Lawson CrouseUTA2819:500:431:1926
Sean DurziUTA2419:320:491:3127
Jaccob SlavinCAR2419:280:491:5932
Nick SchmaltzUTA2619:140:441:2726
K'Andre MillerCAR2318:340:481:2240
Clayton KellerUTA2418:110:451:2724
Ian ColeUTA2317:570:471:2115
Nikolaj EhlersCAR1817:561:002:3440
Jack McBainUTA2517:210:421:1114
Sean WalkerCAR2317:130:451:2440
Alexander NikishinCAR1816:270:552:1130
Kevin StenlundUTA2116:100:461:5816
Jackson BlakeCAR1815:460:531:3020
JJ PeterkaUTA1915:430:502:0023
Jordan StaalCAR2015:350:471:4351
Logan StankovenCAR1715:180:541:2720
Jordan MartinookCAR2014:480:441:2141
Taylor HallCAR1914:290:461:1320
Barrett HaytonUTA1914:010:441:1024
Michael CarconeUTA1912:520:411:1614
Daniil ButUTA1712:440:451:2414
Kailer YamamotoUTA1711:250:401:0313
Nick DeSimoneUTA1811:190:381:2412
Liam O'BrienUTA1210:500:541:4511
Mark JankowskiCAR1410:390:462:2632
William CarrierCAR139:560:462:1332
Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR119:260:512:1132
Brandon TanevUTA107:250:451:1111