Thu, Feb 5, 2026·Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia
Ottawa Senators 2, Philadelphia Flyers 1 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 66% of the time.
24%
9%
10%
56%
PHI winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 24:29 | 0.39 | 49.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:15 | 0.00 | 56.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:59 | 0.00 | 58.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:23 | 0.06 | 47.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:18 | 0.34 | 21.8% | +49.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:33 | 0.20 | 76.3% | +18.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:53 | 0.08 | 74.2% | +18.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:50 | 0.20 | 55.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:53 | 0.43 | 80.3% | +18.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 16:20 | 0.40 | 66.2% | +49.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:02 | 0.18 | 57.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:44 | 0.00 | 22.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:29 | 0.03 | 68.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:19 | 0.00 | 18.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:35 | 0.13 | 76.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:34 | 0.07 | 81.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:11 | 0.00 | 68.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:34 | 0.18 | 85.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 16 | 15 | 1 | .938 | 1.90 | +0.9 | 60:47 |
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 24:11 | 0.10 | 73.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 23:17 | 0.10 | 29.5% | +38.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:57 | 0.08 | 73.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:42 | 0.09 | 23.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:17 | 0.18 | 49.8% | +38.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:52 | 0.09 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:46 | 0.26 | 38.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:52 | 0.09 | 32.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:16 | 0.04 | 42.0% | +38.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:41 | 0.11 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:58 | 0.08 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:23 | 0.46 | 55.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:11 | 0.01 | 42.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:56 | 0.06 | 33.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:38 | 0.00 | 51.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:44 | 0.06 | 23.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:27 | 0.06 | 28.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:17 | 0.02 | 43.0% | 0.0 |
| O | 27 | 25 | 2 | .926 | 2.69 | +0.7 | 59:43 |