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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 26, 2026·Centre Bell, Montreal

New York Islanders 4, Montréal Canadiens 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 60% of the time.

MTL winsNYI wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

MTL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NYI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Palat–Horvat–BarzalDrouin–Heineman–RitchieLee–Pageau–HolmstromCizikas–MacLean–GatcombPulock–SchaeferPelech–DeAngeloMayfield–SoucyDeAngelo–SchaeferPelech–PulockSoucy–DeAngelo
Suzuki–Dach–Caufield8:230.24–0.171:070.16–0.001:180.05–0.007:520.26–0.092:450.25–0.250:470.04–0.000:450.00–0.00
Kapanen–Slafkovský–Demidov1:050.00–0.072:390.02–0.203:220.00–0.821:190.23–0.020:320.00–0.284:040.23–0.654:410.23–0.110:580.00–0.00
Evans–Texier–Newhook2:050.00–0.074:210.14–0.131:430.14–0.001:160.13–0.031:420.00–0.004:380.26–0.141:510.19–0.00
Gallagher–Danault–Anderson1:580.00–0.112:110.05–0.032:350.00–0.002:510.00–0.181:380.05–0.001:340.00–0.000:500.00–0.10
Matheson–Guhle10:150.04–0.401:050.00–0.060:480.09–0.001:210.05–0.008:360.07–0.093:150.24–0.311:330.11–0.070:330.04–0.000:330.00–0.06
Dobson–Hutson0:430.00–0.135:120.02–0.354:500.08–0.612:280.29–0.021:430.08–0.346:060.42–0.705:090.23–0.040:540.02–0.030:450.00–0.00
Carrier–Xhekaj2:150.14–0.091:470.19–0.122:490.00–0.032:570.00–0.042:270.05–0.072:340.21–0.040:320.00–0.000:430.00–0.00
Matheson–Dobson1:210.08–0.000:480.08–0.00
Carrier–Guhle0:370.00–0.000:330.00–0.00
Matheson–Hutson0:380.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndGallagher FAnderson FDanault FCaufield FSuzuki FDach FDemidov FSlafkovský FKapanen FEvans FNewhook FTexier FCarrier DXhekaj DGuhle DMatheson DHutson DDobson DMontembeault GGatcomb FMacLean FCizikas FPageau FPalat FBarzal FHorvat FRitchie FDrouin FHeineman FHolmstrom FLee FPulock DSchaefer DMayfield DSoucy DDeAngelo DPelech DSorokin G
MTLNYIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Matthew SchaeferNYI2825:560:562:1544
Nick SuzukiMTL2224:361:073:0962
Lane HutsonMTL2624:000:552:1634
Bo HorvatNYI2723:500:531:4046
Mathew BarzalNYI2222:191:011:5033
Adam PelechNYI2922:040:461:4136
Noah DobsonMTL2421:540:551:4214
Mike MathesonMTL2521:450:521:5914
Ryan PulockNYI3221:430:412:1547
Kaiden GuhleMTL2321:370:561:5825
Cole CaufieldMTL2221:090:581:4282
Tony DeAngeloNYI2920:450:431:2534
Juraj SlafkovskýMTL2018:420:561:4142
Ivan DemidovMTL2017:040:511:3342
Ondrej PalatNYI2116:250:471:0834
Kirby DachMTL2016:090:481:2142
Simon HolmstromNYI2416:020:401:2817
Alexandre CarrierMTL2015:290:462:2611
Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI2614:510:340:5508
Carson SoucyNYI2214:510:411:3002
Jonathan DrouinNYI1914:270:461:1222
Calum RitchieNYI2114:260:411:2633
Anders LeeNYI2014:150:431:3304
Scott MayfieldNYI2413:520:351:0402
Emil HeinemanNYI2013:430:411:0723
Jake EvansMTL1813:250:451:2645
Alex NewhookMTL1713:180:471:1323
Phillip DanaultMTL2013:080:391:3645
Alexandre TexierMTL1613:010:491:1533
Casey CizikasNYI1612:520:482:4924
Oliver KapanenMTL1712:090:431:1422
Arber XhekajMTL1411:580:511:2411
Josh AndersonMTL1611:550:451:2934
Brendan GallagherMTL1511:030:441:2623
Kyle MacLeanNYI109:290:572:4822
Marc GatcombNYI118:590:492:3422