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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 26, 2026·Amerant Bank Arena, Sunrise

Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Florida Panthers 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 88% of the time.

FLA winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:38Shot by Samoskevich, saved by Woll
  3. P1 2:50Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Woll
  4. P1 3:00Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Woll
  5. P1 3:01Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Woll
  6. P1 3:18Goal by Marchand (Lundell)+12 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Marchand, Mikkola, Luostarinen, Lundell, Balinskis · TOR Ekman-Larsson, McCabe, Domi, Matthews, Knies

  7. P1 3:37Roy: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Petry, Bennett, Tkachuk, Sebrango, Samoskevich · TOR Joshua, Roy, Stecher, Benoit, McMann

  8. P1 4:44Shot by Laughton, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  9. P1 5:13Goal by Verhaeghe (Rodrigues, Lundell)5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Verhaeghe, Ekblad, Forsling, Rodrigues, Lundell · TOR Laughton, Lorentz, Stecher, Benoit

  10. P1 8:46Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Woll
  11. P1 10:10Shot by Marchand, saved by Woll
  12. P1 10:14Shot by Balinskis, saved by Woll
  13. P1 10:44Shot by Ekblad, saved by Woll
  14. P1 10:58Shot by Maccelli, saved by Bobrovsky
  15. P1 11:33Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Woll
  16. P1 11:42Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Woll
  17. P1 11:43Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Woll
  18. P1 11:53Shot by Samoskevich, saved by Woll
  19. P1 12:57Shot by Luostarinen, saved by Woll
  20. P1 15:01Shot by Stecher, saved by Bobrovsky
  21. P1 15:43Ekblad: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Verhaeghe, Ekblad, Reinhart, Forsling, Rodrigues · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Carlo, Maccelli

  22. P1 16:12Shot by Rielly, saved by Bobrovsky4v5
  23. P1 16:40Goal by Rodrigues, unassisted4v5+9 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Reinhart, Forsling, Rodrigues, Balinskis · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Matthews, Knies

  24. P1 17:31Shot by Matthews, saved by Bobrovsky4v5
  25. P1 18:39Shot by Robertson, saved by Bobrovsky
  26. P1 18:53Shot by McMann, saved by Bobrovsky
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 1:19Shot by Domi, saved by Bobrovsky
  30. P2 3:37Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Woll
  31. P2 4:14Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Bobrovsky
  32. P2 5:30McCabe: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Greer, Mikkola, Schwindt, Vilmanis, Balinskis · TOR Laughton, McCabe, Lorentz, Stecher, Robertson

  33. P2 5:51Shot by Bennett, saved by Woll5v4
  34. P2 8:00Shot by McCabe, saved by Bobrovsky
  35. P2 9:04Shot by Luostarinen, saved by Woll
  36. P2 9:41Shot by McCabe, saved by Bobrovsky
  37. P2 10:48Shot by Bennett, saved by Woll
  38. P2 11:07Shot by Laughton, saved by Bobrovsky
  39. P2 11:09Samoskevich: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Forsling, Rodrigues, Tkachuk, Samoskevich, Balinskis · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Laughton, Benoit, Robertson, Knies

  40. P2 11:35Shot by Tavares, saved by Bobrovsky4v5
  41. P2 11:46Shot by Knies, saved by Bobrovsky4v5
  42. P2 12:08Shot by Forsling, saved by Woll4v5
  43. P2 13:05Shot by Maccelli, saved by Bobrovsky4v5
  44. P2 13:36Shot by Roy, saved by Bobrovsky
  45. P2 13:51Shot by Bennett, saved by Woll
  46. P2 14:25Shot by Greer, saved by Woll
  47. P2 15:17Shot by Reinhart, saved by Woll
  48. P2 16:28Shot by Lundell, saved by Woll
  49. P2 16:59Shot by Samoskevich, saved by Woll
  50. P2 18:21Shot by Nylander, saved by Bobrovsky
  51. P2 18:24Shot by Benoit, saved by Bobrovsky
  52. P2 18:49Ekblad: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Verhaeghe, Ekblad, Reinhart, Forsling, Rodrigues · TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, Benoit, Maccelli

  53. P2 18:49Benoit: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Verhaeghe, Ekblad, Reinhart, Forsling, Rodrigues · TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, Benoit, Maccelli

  54. P2 18:49Ekblad: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Verhaeghe, Ekblad, Reinhart, Forsling, Rodrigues · TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, Benoit, Maccelli

  55. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 0:47Goal by Tavares (Matthews, Ekman-Larsson)4v5+5 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Reinhart, Forsling, Rodrigues, Mikkola · TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, Matthews, Knies

  58. P3 2:30Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Woll
  59. P3 3:05Shot by Robertson, saved by Bobrovsky
  60. P3 3:55Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Woll
  61. P3 3:56Shot by Petry, saved by Woll
  62. P3 5:13Shot by Matthews, saved by Bobrovsky
  63. P3 6:19Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Woll
  64. P3 7:00Shot by Rielly, saved by Bobrovsky
  65. P3 7:09Shot by Reinhart, saved by Woll
  66. P3 9:20Shot by Roy, saved by Bobrovsky
  67. P3 9:44Shot by Maccelli, saved by Bobrovsky
  68. P3 9:53Shot by Tavares, saved by Bobrovsky
  69. P3 10:01Maccelli: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Verhaeghe, Ekblad, Reinhart, Forsling, Rodrigues · TOR Tavares, McCabe, Nylander, Stecher, Maccelli

  70. P3 11:07Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Woll5v4
  71. P3 11:32Shot by Forsling, saved by Woll5v4
  72. P3 12:13Shot by McCabe, saved by Bobrovsky
  73. P3 13:33Shot by Knies, saved by Bobrovsky
  74. P3 13:34Shot by Knies, saved by Bobrovsky
  75. P3 15:23Shot by Luostarinen, saved by Woll
  76. P3 16:20Shot by Knies, saved by Bobrovsky5v6
  77. P3 16:51Goal by Marchand, unassisted5v6+1 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Marchand, Ekblad, Forsling, Luostarinen, Lundell · TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Domi, Nylander, Matthews, Knies

  78. P3 17:45Shot by McMann, saved by Bobrovsky
  79. P3 18:08Goal by Tkachuk (Bennett, Reinhart)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Reinhart, Bennett, Forsling, Mikkola, Tkachuk · TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, Matthews, Maccelli, Knies

  80. P3 18:34Shot by Greer, saved by Woll
  81. P3 0:00Period end
  82. P3 0:00Final