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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 26, 2026·Amerant Bank Arena, Sunrise

Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Florida Panthers 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 88% of the time.

FLA winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

FLA forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Tavares–Nylander–MaccelliJoshua–Roy–McMannLaughton–Lorentz–RobertsonDomi–Matthews–KniesMcCabe–StecherRielly–CarloEkman-Larsson–BenoitEkman-Larsson–McCabeStecher–BenoitEkman-Larsson–RiellyCarlo–Stecher
Bennett–Tkachuk–Samoskevich6:520.58–0.052:230.06–0.012:460.17–0.053:270.07–0.062:580.30–0.001:220.09–0.000:410.00–0.00
Verhaeghe–Reinhart–Rodrigues6:030.68–0.220:320.00–0.033:050.37–0.001:310.29–0.012:510.31–0.071:010.00–0.03
Marchand–Luostarinen–Lundell0:360.00–0.060:330.03–0.006:340.40–0.303:350.02–0.061:450.13–0.050:450.03–0.190:530.16–0.000:510.00–0.06
Greer–Schwindt–Vilmanis1:410.00–0.120:410.00–0.043:270.07–0.062:210.00–0.121:300.00–0.021:110.00–0.030:370.07–0.00
Greer–Luostarinen–Vilmanis0:320.10–0.160:460.00–0.240:320.10–0.161:090.00–0.24
Greer–Rodrigues–Vilmanis0:320.00–0.03
Ekblad–Forsling6:540.59–0.381:150.02–0.002:350.13–0.332:430.22–0.063:100.44–0.012:110.22–0.071:470.00–0.031:480.00–0.30
Mikkola–Balinskis1:060.00–0.002:310.15–0.052:580.17–0.064:140.19–0.234:410.24–0.103:460.07–0.062:560.20–0.190:520.16–0.00
Petry–Sebrango5:420.42–0.083:350.27–0.174:010.09–0.131:540.00–0.061:580.30–0.032:220.23–0.160:390.07–0.000:400.00–0.00
Petry–Mikkola1:070.00–0.050:300.00–0.000:340.00–0.05
Forsling–Balinskis0:380.08–0.000:390.00–0.05
Ekblad–Sebrango0:350.00–0.00
Mikkola–Sebrango0:550.00–0.010:500.00–0.01
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndReinhart FRodrigues FVerhaeghe FMarchand FLundell FLuostarinen FSamoskevich FBennett FTkachuk FVilmanis FGreer FSchwindt FEkblad DForsling DMikkola DBalinskis DSebrango DPetry DBobrovsky GMaccelli FNylander FTavares FKnies FMatthews FDomi FJoshua FRoy FMcMann FRobertson FLorentz FLaughton FMcCabe DEkman-Larsson DCarlo DRielly DStecher DBenoit DWoll G
FLATORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Gustav ForslingFLA2622:560:531:5814
Troy StecherTOR2921:140:441:1842
Niko MikkolaFLA2621:060:492:0826
Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR2920:560:431:2725
Jake McCabeTOR3020:440:411:3733
Uvis BalinskisFLA2120:130:582:3144
Morgan RiellyTOR3019:110:381:1635
Aaron EkbladFLA2519:060:461:2224
Sam BennettFLA2218:410:511:3661
John TavaresTOR2218:380:511:5080
Auston MatthewsTOR2518:340:451:3863
Matthew TkachukFLA2118:260:531:3962
William NylanderTOR2218:110:501:5991
Sam ReinhartFLA2318:010:471:4926
Jeff PetryFLA2317:480:461:1323
Matthew KniesTOR2417:170:431:5353
Brandon CarloTOR2716:530:381:1115
Evan RodriguesFLA2716:520:371:1105
Anton LundellFLA2416:180:411:3625
Eetu LuostarinenFLA2216:040:441:4426
Donovan SebrangoFLA1815:250:511:5211
Matias MaccelliTOR2015:090:451:1460
Nicolas RoyTOR1915:010:471:0914
Scott LaughtonTOR2114:250:411:2306
Simon BenoitTOR2314:180:371:2313
Mackie SamoskevichFLA1914:120:451:4240
Brad MarchandFLA1814:100:471:4653
Bobby McMannTOR1714:050:501:1903
Carter VerhaegheFLA2114:030:401:2005
Max DomiTOR1813:540:461:3221
Steven LorentzTOR1913:450:431:2514
A.J. GreerFLA1612:050:451:1210
Nick RobertsonTOR1612:010:451:5701
Sandis VilmanisFLA1411:130:481:1510
Dakota JoshuaTOR1611:010:410:5711
Cole SchwindtFLA117:230:401:0910