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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 26, 2026·Ball Arena, Denver

Minnesota Wild 5, Colorado Avalanche 2

Away

Minnesota Wild

5

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 78% of the time.

COL winsMIN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:14Shot by Burns, saved by Gustavsson
  3. P1 0:15Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Gustavsson
  4. P1 2:50Shot by Burns, saved by Gustavsson
  5. P1 3:25Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Gustavsson
  6. P1 4:41Hunt: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Nelson, Kulak, Lehkonen, Nichushkin, Malinski · MIN Bogosian, Zuccarello, Hartman, Kaprizov, Hunt

  7. P1 4:54Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  8. P1 5:00Shot by Makar, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  9. P1 5:06Shot by Sturm, saved by Blackwood5v4
  10. P1 7:26Shot by Drury, saved by Gustavsson
  11. P1 8:22Shot by Nelson, saved by Gustavsson
  12. P1 9:06Shot by Burns, saved by Gustavsson
  13. P1 9:38Manson: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Burns, Manson, Olofsson, Kelly, Drury · MIN Johansson, Eriksson Ek, Hughes, Boldy, Faber

  14. P1 9:42Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Blackwood4v5
  15. P1 10:04Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Blackwood4v5
  16. P1 11:31Shot by Faber, saved by Blackwood4v5
  17. P1 11:41Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Blackwood
  18. P1 11:50Shot by Hartman, saved by Blackwood
  19. P1 12:03Landeskog: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: COL Landeskog, MacKinnon, Toews, Necas, Makar · MIN Zuccarello, Hartman, Kaprizov, Hughes, Boldy, Faber

  20. P1 13:34Shot by Toews, saved by Gustavsson4v5
  21. P1 15:12Shot by Necas, saved by Gustavsson
  22. P1 17:39Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Gustavsson
  23. P1 17:49Shot by Boldy, saved by Blackwood
  24. P1 17:50Shot by Boldy, saved by Blackwood
  25. P1 19:07Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Blackwood
  26. P1 19:10Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Blackwood
  27. P1 19:53Shot by Toews, saved by Gustavsson
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:24Shot by Faber, saved by Blackwood
  31. P2 0:41Shot by Faber, saved by Blackwood
  32. P2 1:07Shot by Boldy, saved by Blackwood
  33. P2 1:24Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Gustavsson
  34. P2 1:48Shot by Middleton, saved by Blackwood
  35. P2 2:58Shot by Faber, saved by Blackwood
  36. P2 3:09Shot by Hinostroza, saved by Blackwood
  37. P2 5:02Shot by Hughes, saved by Blackwood
  38. P2 5:36Shot by Malinski, saved by Gustavsson
  39. P2 5:41Shot by Malinski, saved by Gustavsson
  40. P2 6:49Makar: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Landeskog, MacKinnon, Toews, Necas, Makar · MIN Spurgeon, Tarasenko, Middleton, Trenin, Yurov

  41. P2 7:06Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Gustavsson4v5
  42. P2 7:46Shot by Boldy, saved by Blackwood4v5
  43. P2 7:48Goal by Eriksson Ek (Boldy, Kaprizov)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: COL Burns, Kulak, Kelly, Drury · MIN Zuccarello, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov, Hughes, Boldy

  44. P2 8:36Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Gustavsson
  45. P2 9:53Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Gustavsson
  46. P2 9:57Shot by Malinski, saved by Gustavsson
  47. P2 10:02Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Gustavsson
  48. P2 10:03Shot by Nelson, saved by Gustavsson
  49. P2 10:08Shot by Manson, saved by Gustavsson
  50. P2 10:28Shot by Landeskog, saved by Gustavsson
  51. P2 11:55Shot by Colton, saved by Gustavsson
  52. P2 13:30Goal by Necas (MacKinnon, Manson)+19 pts WP

    On ice: COL Manson, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Necas, Makar · MIN Bogosian, Tarasenko, Eriksson Ek, Trenin, Hunt

  53. P2 14:15Landeskog: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Landeskog, Lehkonen, Toews, Makar, Drury · MIN Spurgeon, Foligno, Middleton, Eriksson Ek, Boldy

  54. P2 14:18Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Blackwood4v5
  55. P2 14:53Shot by Manson, saved by Gustavsson4v5
  56. P2 15:02Shot by Hughes, saved by Blackwood4v5
  57. P2 15:04Nichushkin: Cross checking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: COL Burns, Lehkonen, Makar, Kelly · MIN Johansson, Zuccarello, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov, Hughes

  58. P2 15:08Burns: Delaying game (2 min)3v5

    On ice: COL Burns, Nelson, Toews · MIN Zuccarello, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov, Hughes, Boldy

  59. P2 15:24Shot by Boldy, saved by Blackwood3v5
  60. P2 15:28Shot by Hughes, saved by Blackwood3v5
  61. P2 16:04Shot by Hughes, saved by Blackwood3v5
  62. P2 16:12Shot by Boldy, saved by Blackwood3v5
  63. P2 16:50Shot by Boldy, saved by Blackwood3v5
  64. P2 17:37Goal by Eriksson Ek (Boldy, Hughes)4v5+21 pts WP

    On ice: COL Landeskog, Kulak, Makar, Kelly · MIN Zuccarello, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov, Hughes, Boldy

  65. P2 0:00Period end
  66. P3 0:00Period start
  67. P3 0:32Shot by Boldy, saved by Blackwood
  68. P3 0:41Shot by Necas, saved by Gustavsson
  69. P3 1:14Shot by Toews, saved by Gustavsson
  70. P3 1:49Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Gustavsson
  71. P3 1:58Shot by Kulak, saved by Gustavsson
  72. P3 2:01Shot by Colton, saved by Gustavsson
  73. P3 2:43Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Gustavsson
  74. P3 2:49Shot by Necas, saved by Gustavsson
  75. P3 4:05Shot by Burns, saved by Gustavsson
  76. P3 4:28Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Blackwood
  77. P3 6:06Shot by Drury, saved by Gustavsson
  78. P3 6:09Shot by Brindley, saved by Gustavsson
  79. P3 7:45Shot by Landeskog, saved by Gustavsson
  80. P3 7:58Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Blackwood
  81. P3 8:51Shot by Hinostroza, saved by Blackwood
  82. P3 9:24Shot by Necas, saved by Gustavsson
  83. P3 9:59Shot by Trenin, saved by Blackwood
  84. P3 11:02Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Gustavsson
  85. P3 11:20Shot by Makar, saved by Gustavsson
  86. P3 12:30Shot by Hinostroza, saved by Blackwood
  87. P3 12:36Sturm: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Toews, Colton, Makar, Kelly, Drury · MIN Bogosian, Foligno, Hinostroza, Sturm, Hunt

  88. P3 13:23Shot by Nelson, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  89. P3 14:06Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  90. P3 15:08Goal by Zuccarello (Hartman, Kaprizov)+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, Nichushkin, Toews, Kelly, Malinski · MIN Zuccarello, Hartman, Kaprizov, Hughes, Faber

  91. P3 16:12Yurov: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Kulak, Nichushkin, Toews, Kelly, Brindley · MIN Spurgeon, Tarasenko, Middleton, Trenin, Yurov

  92. P3 16:38Goal by Boldy, unassisted6v4+2 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nelson, Landeskog, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Necas, Makar · MIN Middleton, Eriksson Ek, Boldy, Faber

  93. P3 16:51Shot by Necas, saved by Gustavsson6v4
  94. P3 16:56Shot by Nelson, saved by Gustavsson6v4
  95. P3 19:03Goal by Necas (MacKinnon, Landeskog)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nelson, Landeskog, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Necas, Makar · MIN Bogosian, Tarasenko, Eriksson Ek, Hunt, Yurov

  96. P3 19:28Goal by Boldy (Faber, Middleton)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nelson, Landeskog, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Necas, Makar · MIN Middleton, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov, Boldy, Faber

  97. P3 19:49Shot by Colton, saved by Wallstedt
  98. P3 0:00Period end
  99. P3 0:00Final