Thu, Feb 26, 2026·Ball Arena, Denver
Minnesota Wild 5, Colorado Avalanche 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 78% of the time.
17%
72%
COL winsMIN wins
Minnesota Wild
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 26:12 | 0.50 | 35.5% | +21.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 4 | 25:44 | 0.07 | 47.3% | +0.3 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 10 | 22:42 | 1.98 | 60.4% | +39.9 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 21:12 | 0.56 | 53.9% | +37.7 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 21:04 | 0.85 | 59.4% | +29.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 18:58 | 0.02 | 63.5% | +0.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:32 | 0.35 | 56.3% | +12.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:17 | 0.00 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:53 | 0.15 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:14 | 0.02 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:02 | 0.12 | 62.5% | +12.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:51 | 0.00 | 23.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:45 | 0.25 | 23.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:15 | 0.02 | 32.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:55 | 0.00 | 22.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 9:07 | 0.00 | 25.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:04 | 0.44 | 20.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6:20 | 0.15 | 20.5% | 0.0 |
| – | 2 | 1 | 1 | .500 | 0.20 | −0.8 | 1:04 | |
| W | 45 | 44 | 1 | .978 | 3.15 | +2.1 | 58:49 |
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26:45 | 0.21 | 57.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 25:23 | 0.13 | 59.3% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 24:21 | 0.72 | 59.8% | +19.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 23:21 | 0.47 | 48.2% | +19.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:44 | 0.24 | 50.7% | +0.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 21:20 | 0.49 | 49.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:33 | 0.02 | 45.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:55 | 0.08 | 57.5% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:31 | 0.25 | 64.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:06 | 0.14 | 49.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:39 | 0.15 | 58.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:31 | 0.05 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:24 | 0.00 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:08 | 0.13 | 78.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10:50 | 0.21 | 73.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:05 | 0.00 | 83.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:52 | 0.04 | 66.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:12 | 0.00 | 87.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 34 | 31 | 3 | .912 | 3.94 | +0.9 | 56:59 |