Skip to content
Ice Lab

Fri, Feb 27, 2026·Capital One Arena, Washington

Vegas Golden Knights 2, Washington Capitals 3

Away

Vegas Golden Knights

2

Final

Home

Washington Capitals

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 66% of the time.

WSH winsVGK wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:39Shot by Sandin, saved by Schmid
  3. P1 1:54Shot by Frank, saved by Schmid
  4. P1 3:32Shot by Protas, saved by Schmid
  5. P1 4:21Shot by Lauzon, saved by Thompson
  6. P1 6:00Shot by Roy, saved by Schmid
  7. P1 6:16Shot by Chychrun, saved by Schmid
  8. P1 7:40Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Schmid
  9. P1 8:13Shot by Sissons, saved by Thompson
  10. P1 8:34Shot by Chychrun, saved by Schmid
  11. P1 11:22Shot by Hanifin, saved by Thompson
  12. P1 11:34Shot by Chychrun, saved by Schmid
  13. P1 12:20Shot by Lauzon, saved by Thompson
  14. P1 12:47Barbashev: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Wilson, Roy, Chychrun, Dubois, Protas · VGK Stone, Barbashev, Hanifin, Andersson, Eichel

  15. P1 14:18Shot by Strome, saved by Schmid5v4
  16. P1 14:47Shot by Hertl, saved by Thompson
  17. P1 15:34Roy: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Roy, Chychrun, McMichael, Sourdif, Leonard · VGK McNabb, Smith, Marner, Korczak, Dorofeyev

  18. P1 19:45Shot by Andersson, saved by Thompson
  19. P1 19:57Shot by Frank, saved by Schmid
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:49Goal by Dubois (Protas, Sandin)+20 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Wilson, Roy, Dubois, Sandin, Protas · VGK Barbashev, Andersson, Eichel, Lauzon, Dorofeyev

  23. P2 1:36Shot by Smith, saved by Thompson
  24. P2 2:20Shot by Kolesar, saved by Thompson
  25. P2 3:23Goal by Dubois (Protas)+14 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Wilson, Dubois, Fehérváry, Sandin, Protas · VGK Stone, Barbashev, Hanifin, Andersson, Eichel

  26. P2 4:14Shot by Hanifin, saved by Thompson
  27. P2 4:41Bowman: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Dowd, Wilson, Roy, Chychrun, Duhaime · VGK Hertl, Hanifin, Andersson, Kolesar, Bowman

  28. P2 5:21Shot by Leonard, saved by Schmid5v4
  29. P2 5:55Shot by Leonard, saved by Schmid6v4
  30. P2 5:56Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Schmid6v4
  31. P2 5:57Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Schmid6v4
  32. P2 5:58Hanifin: High sticking (2 min)6v4

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Wilson, Strome, Chychrun, Protas, Leonard · VGK Smith, Hanifin, Andersson, Marner

  33. P2 6:06Shot by Chychrun, saved by Schmid5v3
  34. P2 6:45Shot by Strome, saved by Schmid5v4
  35. P2 7:33Shot by Sandin, saved by Schmid5v4
  36. P2 11:20Shot by Barbashev, saved by Thompson
  37. P2 12:49Shot by Sourdif, saved by Schmid
  38. P2 13:32Shot by Frank, saved by Schmid
  39. P2 14:52Goal by Chychrun (Sandin, Dubois)+6 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Wilson, Chychrun, Dubois, Sandin, Protas · VGK McNabb, Saad, Sissons, Korczak, Holtz

  40. P2 16:44Leonard: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH van Riemsdyk, Chisholm, McMichael, Sourdif, Leonard · VGK Hertl, Theodore, Kolesar, Lauzon, Bowman

  41. P2 16:53Shot by Hertl, saved by Thompson4v5
  42. P2 17:34Shot by Dorofeyev, saved by Thompson4v5
  43. P2 18:31Shot by Andersson, saved by Thompson4v5
  44. P2 0:00Period end
  45. P3 0:00Period start
  46. P3 0:26Shot by Dubois, saved by Schmid
  47. P3 0:34Shot by Dubois, saved by Schmid
  48. P3 0:57Shot by Andersson, saved by Thompson
  49. P3 2:27Goal by Bowman (Korczak, McNabb)+5 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, van Riemsdyk, Strome, Beauvillier, Chisholm · VGK McNabb, Hertl, Kolesar, Korczak, Bowman

  50. P3 3:34Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Schmid
  51. P3 3:39Shot by Dubois, saved by Schmid
  52. P3 4:12Shot by Protas, saved by Schmid
  53. P3 5:26Korczak: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH van Riemsdyk, Chisholm, McMichael, Sourdif, Leonard · VGK McNabb, Hertl, Kolesar, Korczak, Bowman

  54. P3 7:45Shot by Andersson, saved by Thompson
  55. P3 8:10Shot by Smith, saved by Thompson
  56. P3 8:15Sourdif: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Strome, Beauvillier, Roy, Chychrun, Protas · VGK Smith, Hanifin, Andersson, Marner, Dorofeyev

  57. P3 9:15Goal by Hertl (Dorofeyev, Marner)4v5+11 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Dowd, Roy, Fehérváry, Protas · VGK Stone, Hertl, Eichel, Marner, Dorofeyev

  58. P3 9:52Shot by Barbashev, saved by Thompson
  59. P3 9:56Shot by Sissons, saved by Thompson
  60. P3 12:19Shot by Saad, saved by Thompson
  61. P3 13:29Shot by Wilson, saved by Schmid
  62. P3 15:36Stone: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Wilson, Dubois, Fehérváry, Sandin, Protas · VGK Stone, Barbashev, Hanifin, Andersson, Eichel

  63. P3 16:02Shot by Chychrun, saved by Schmid5v4
  64. P3 16:24Shot by Marner, saved by Thompson5v4
  65. P3 16:25Shot by Smith, saved by Thompson5v4
  66. P3 16:27Shot by Hanifin, saved by Thompson5v4
  67. P3 16:44Shot by Dubois, saved by Schmid5v4
  68. P3 18:20Shot by Stone, saved by Thompson5v6
  69. P3 19:21Shot by Eichel, saved by Thompson5v6
  70. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  71. P3 0:00Final5v6