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Ice Lab

Fri, Feb 27, 2026·Capital One Arena, Washington

Vegas Golden Knights 2, Washington Capitals 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 66% of the time.

WSH winsVGK wins

Vegas Golden Knights

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Jack EichelC · #9000−2120:460.0145.8%0.0
Rasmus AnderssonD · #4000−2420:460.2157.7%0.0
Mark StoneRW · #61000−1120:400.3753.2%0.0
Jeremy LauzonD · #5000−1220:350.0859.8%0.0
Shea TheodoreD · #270000020:040.0663.6%0.0
Noah HanifinD · #15000−1319:550.1965.4%0.0
Mitch MarnerRW · #930110119:500.2285.9%+11.5
Tomas HertlC · #48101+1318:260.5261.3%+11.5
Brayden McNabbD · #30110017:370.0259.5%+4.8
Pavel DorofeyevRW · #16011−1116:240.1876.6%+11.5
Ivan BarbashevLW · #49000−2215:140.1552.1%0.0
Reilly SmithRW · #190000314:080.5887.8%0.0
Kaedan KorczakD · #60110013:020.0058.4%+4.8
Brandon SaadLW · #20000−1112:280.1963.6%0.0
Keegan KolesarRW · #55000+1111:280.2857.4%0.0
Braeden BowmanRW · #42101+1111:180.2151.0%+4.8
Colton SissonsC · #10000−1211:060.5457.8%0.0
Alexander HoltzRW · #26000−108:040.0556.8%0.0
Akira Schmid#40L30273.9002.86−0.158:09

Washington Capitals

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Jakob ChychrunD · #6101+1624:430.2748.1%+6.4
Martin FehérváryD · #42000+1022:040.0044.5%0.0
Tom WilsonRW · #43000+3121:580.0469.1%0.0
Rasmus SandinD · #38022+3221:300.0446.9%+26.7
Matt RoyD · #3000+1120:200.0458.6%0.0
Aliaksei ProtasLW · #21022+3219:380.0556.0%+33.9
Pierre-Luc DuboisC · #80213+3619:370.5362.2%+40.3
Alex OvechkinLW · #8000−1317:430.6724.2%0.0
Dylan StromeC · #17000−1216:260.1320.8%0.0
Nic DowdC · #260000015:130.0945.0%0.0
Connor McMichaelLW · #240000015:030.0929.5%0.0
Ryan LeonardRW · #90000214:420.5440.0%0.0
Anthony BeauvillierRW · #72000−1113:480.0922.9%0.0
Trevor van RiemsdykD · #57000−1012:540.0016.2%0.0
Declan ChisholmD · #47000−1010:590.0120.7%0.0
Ethen FrankRW · #530000310:580.2347.0%0.0
Brandon DuhaimeRW · #22000009:360.0253.4%0.0
Justin SourdifC · #34000017:590.0336.6%0.0
Logan Thompson#48W26242.9233.88+1.959:49