Fri, Feb 27, 2026·Capital One Arena, Washington
Vegas Golden Knights 2, Washington Capitals 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 66% of the time.
27%
58%
WSH winsVGK wins
Vegas Golden Knights
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:46 | 0.01 | 45.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 20:46 | 0.21 | 57.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:40 | 0.37 | 53.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:35 | 0.08 | 59.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:04 | 0.06 | 63.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:55 | 0.19 | 65.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:50 | 0.22 | 85.9% | +11.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:26 | 0.52 | 61.3% | +11.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:37 | 0.02 | 59.5% | +4.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 16:24 | 0.18 | 76.6% | +11.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:14 | 0.15 | 52.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:08 | 0.58 | 87.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:02 | 0.00 | 58.4% | +4.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:28 | 0.19 | 63.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:28 | 0.28 | 57.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:18 | 0.21 | 51.0% | +4.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:06 | 0.54 | 57.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:04 | 0.05 | 56.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 30 | 27 | 3 | .900 | 2.86 | −0.1 | 58:09 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 24:43 | 0.27 | 48.1% | +6.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:04 | 0.00 | 44.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 1 | 21:58 | 0.04 | 69.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 21:30 | 0.04 | 46.9% | +26.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:20 | 0.04 | 58.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 19:38 | 0.05 | 56.0% | +33.9 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 6 | 19:37 | 0.53 | 62.2% | +40.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:43 | 0.67 | 24.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:26 | 0.13 | 20.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:13 | 0.09 | 45.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:03 | 0.09 | 29.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:42 | 0.54 | 40.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:48 | 0.09 | 22.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:54 | 0.00 | 16.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:59 | 0.01 | 20.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10:58 | 0.23 | 47.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:36 | 0.02 | 53.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:59 | 0.03 | 36.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 26 | 24 | 2 | .923 | 3.88 | +1.9 | 59:49 |