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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 28, 2026·Madison Square Garden, New York

Pittsburgh Penguins 2, New York Rangers 3 (SO)

Away

Pittsburgh Penguins

2

Final

Shootout

Home

New York Rangers

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 51% of the time.

NYR winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:15Shot by Girard, saved by Shesterkin5v6
  3. P1 1:28Schneider: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Miller, Borgen, Schneider, Perreault · PIT Letang, Rust, Rakell, Mantha, Girard, Hayes

  4. P1 2:08Goal by Mantha (Karlsson, Rust)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Gavrikov, Fox, Cuylle · PIT Malkin, Karlsson, Rust, Rakell, Mantha

  5. P1 2:34Shot by Laba, saved by Skinner
  6. P1 2:36Trocheck: Abuse of officials (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Robertson, Kartye, Brisson, Morrow, Laba · PIT Clifton, Shea, Brazeau, Hayes, Kindel

  7. P1 2:36Trocheck: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: NYR Robertson, Kartye, Brisson, Morrow, Laba · PIT Clifton, Shea, Brazeau, Hayes, Kindel

  8. P1 2:41Shot by Karlsson, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  9. P1 4:22Shot by Novak, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  10. P1 4:34Shot by Kindel, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  11. P1 7:31Shot by Kindel, saved by Shesterkin
  12. P1 7:40Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Skinner
  13. P1 8:22Shot by Clifton, saved by Shesterkin
  14. P1 9:33Shot by Wotherspoon, saved by Shesterkin
  15. P1 13:23Shot by Rust, saved by Shesterkin
  16. P1 15:59Lizotte: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Miller, Sheary, Robertson, Morrow, Perreault · PIT Karlsson, Wotherspoon, Acciari, Dewar, Lizotte

  17. P1 18:30Gavrikov: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Borgen, Gavrikov, Brisson, Cuylle, Perreault · PIT Letang, Rust, Rakell, Girard, Hayes

  18. P1 19:07Shot by Novak, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  19. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:30Shot by Rust, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  22. P2 1:59Goal by Shea (Clifton, Lizotte)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Gavrikov, Kartye, Brisson, Morrow, Laba · PIT Clifton, Acciari, Shea, Dewar, Lizotte

  23. P2 3:02Shot by Perreault, saved by Skinner
  24. P2 3:18Shot by Kindel, saved by Shesterkin
  25. P2 4:01Shot by Chinakhov, saved by Shesterkin
  26. P2 5:49Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Skinner
  27. P2 7:38Shot by Fox, saved by Skinner
  28. P2 7:45Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Skinner
  29. P2 8:02Shot by Novak, saved by Shesterkin
  30. P2 8:37Shot by Chinakhov, saved by Shesterkin
  31. P2 9:09Rakell: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Robertson, Lafrenière, Cuylle, Morrow · PIT Letang, Rust, Rakell, Girard, Hayes

  32. P2 10:00Goal by Zibanejad (Trocheck, Miller)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Zibanejad, Miller, Fox, Lafrenière · PIT Clifton, Shea, Dewar, Lizotte

  33. P2 11:00Shot by Novak, saved by Shesterkin
  34. P2 13:48Shot by Sheary, saved by Skinner
  35. P2 14:00Shot by Kindel, saved by Shesterkin
  36. P2 14:31Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Skinner
  37. P2 14:40Shot by Gavrikov, saved by Skinner
  38. P2 14:42Shot by Perreault, saved by Skinner
  39. P2 15:02Shot by Novak, saved by Shesterkin
  40. P2 15:06Shot by Novak, saved by Shesterkin
  41. P2 16:34Shot by Morrow, saved by Skinner
  42. P2 17:12Shot by Letang, saved by Shesterkin
  43. P2 17:18Shot by Malkin, saved by Shesterkin
  44. P2 17:54Shot by Malkin, saved by Shesterkin
  45. P2 18:10Shot by Wotherspoon, saved by Shesterkin
  46. P2 19:35Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Skinner
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 1:50Shot by Sheary, saved by Skinner
  50. P3 1:53Shot by Kartye, saved by Skinner
  51. P3 2:17Shot by Gavrikov, saved by Skinner
  52. P3 2:41Shot by Gavrikov, saved by Skinner
  53. P3 2:57Goal by Raddysh (Gavrikov, Brisson)+22 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Carrick, Gavrikov, Fox, Raddysh, Brisson · PIT Letang, Rust, Mantha, Wotherspoon, Kindel

  54. P3 4:33Shot by Miller, saved by Skinner
  55. P3 8:52Shot by Malkin, saved by Shesterkin
  56. P3 9:13Shot by Kartye, saved by Skinner
  57. P3 9:24Shot by Laba, saved by Skinner
  58. P3 11:05Shot by Karlsson, saved by Shesterkin
  59. P3 11:40Shot by Cuylle, saved by Skinner
  60. P3 13:04Shot by Laba, saved by Skinner
  61. P3 14:03Shot by Malkin, saved by Shesterkin
  62. P3 17:58Shot by Dewar, saved by Shesterkin
  63. P3 0:00Period end
  64. OT 0:00Period start
  65. OT 0:13Shot by Kindel, saved by Shesterkin3v3
  66. OT 2:32Shot by Cuylle, saved by Skinner3v3
  67. OT 3:02Shot by Kindel, saved by Shesterkin3v3
  68. OT 4:10Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Skinner3v3
  69. OT 4:17Shot by Karlsson, saved by Shesterkin3v3
  70. OT 4:49Shot by Malkin, saved by Shesterkin3v3
  71. OT 4:54Shot by Malkin, saved by Shesterkin3v3
  72. OT 4:59Shot by Malkin, saved by Shesterkin3v3
  73. OT 5:00Period end3v3
  74. SO Period start
  75. SO Goal by Trocheck, unassistedother
  76. SO Shot by Chinakhov, saved by Shesterkinother
  77. SO Shot by Miller, saved by Skinnerother
  78. SO Period endother
  79. SO Finalother