Sat, Feb 28, 2026·Madison Square Garden, New York
Pittsburgh Penguins 2, New York Rangers 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 51% of the time.
41%
8%
9%
42%
NYR winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24:14 | 0.19 | 51.1% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:51 | 0.01 | 19.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:57 | 0.04 | 31.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 20:28 | 0.70 | 48.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:08 | 0.17 | 17.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:45 | 0.12 | 15.1% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:34 | 0.07 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 17:12 | 0.47 | 17.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:41 | 0.12 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:33 | 0.02 | 35.8% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:16 | 0.14 | 39.7% | +15.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 15:41 | 0.16 | 14.1% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15:22 | 0.71 | 52.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:29 | 0.00 | 96.5% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:06 | 0.04 | 96.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:20 | 0.10 | 96.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:01 | 0.00 | 15.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:54 | 0.20 | 20.3% | 0.0 |
| O | 25 | 23 | 2 | .920 | 3.19 | +1.2 | 64:37 |
New York Rangers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 25:33 | 0.11 | 68.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24:17 | 0.11 | 76.1% | +21.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22:36 | 0.39 | 73.6% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:53 | 0.31 | 83.9% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:28 | 0.21 | 48.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:13 | 0.19 | 32.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:17 | 0.37 | 36.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:32 | 0.08 | 50.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:59 | 0.74 | 85.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:38 | 0.00 | 69.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:47 | 0.00 | 38.4% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:31 | 0.02 | 58.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:36 | 0.14 | 62.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:13 | 0.28 | 72.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:39 | 0.15 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:39 | 0.00 | 54.3% | +21.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:48 | 0.09 | 45.1% | +21.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 9:41 | 0.00 | 45.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 34 | 32 | 2 | .941 | 3.25 | +1.2 | 65:00 |