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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 28, 2026·Madison Square Garden, New York

Pittsburgh Penguins 2, New York Rangers 3 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 51% of the time.

NYR winsPIT wins

Pittsburgh Penguins

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Erik KarlssonD · #650110324:140.1951.1%+13.6
Kris LetangD · #58000−1123:510.0119.4%0.0
Samuel GirardD · #490000120:570.0431.3%0.0
Evgeni MalkinC · #710000720:280.7048.8%0.0
Rickard RakellRW · #670000020:080.1717.8%0.0
Bryan RustRW · #17011−1219:450.1215.1%+13.6
Parker WotherspoonD · #28000−1218:340.0741.4%0.0
Ben KindelC · #81000−1617:120.4717.2%0.0
Egor ChinakhovRW · #590000216:410.1253.6%0.0
Ryan SheaD · #5101+1116:330.0235.8%+15.1
Connor CliftonD · #75011+1116:160.1439.7%+15.1
Anthony ManthaRW · #39101−1115:410.1614.1%+13.6
Tommy NovakC · #180000615:220.7152.7%0.0
Blake LizotteC · #46011+1014:290.0096.5%+15.1
Connor DewarC · #19000+1114:060.0496.5%0.0
Noel AcciariC · #55000+1013:200.1096.6%0.0
Justin BrazeauRW · #160000013:010.0015.4%0.0
Avery HayesRW · #850000011:540.2020.3%0.0
Stuart Skinner#74O25232.9203.19+1.264:37

New York Rangers

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Adam FoxD · #23000+1125:330.1168.4%0.0
Vladislav GavrikovD · #440110324:170.1176.1%+21.6
Mika ZibanejadC · #931010522:360.3973.6%+15.9
J.T. MillerC · #80110120:530.3183.9%+15.9
Braden SchneiderD · #40000020:280.2148.6%0.0
Alexis LafrenièreLW · #130000220:130.1932.4%0.0
Will CuylleLW · #500000219:170.3736.7%0.0
Will BorgenD · #170000018:320.0850.3%0.0
Gabe PerreaultRW · #940000217:590.7485.9%0.0
Matthew RobertsonD · #290000017:380.0069.4%0.0
Vincent TrocheckC · #160110016:470.0038.4%+15.9
Scott MorrowD · #60000−1115:310.0258.6%0.0
Conor ShearyLW · #430000214:360.1462.4%0.0
Noah LabaC · #42000−1313:130.2872.1%0.0
Tye KartyeLW · #24000−1212:390.1561.2%0.0
Brendan BrissonC · #910110010:390.0054.3%+21.6
Taylor RaddyshRW · #14101+119:480.0945.1%+21.6
Sam CarrickC · #39000+109:410.0045.1%0.0
Igor Shesterkin#31W34322.9413.25+1.265:00