Sat, Feb 28, 2026·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
New York Islanders 4, Columbus Blue Jackets 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 52% of the time.
39%
9%
9%
43%
CBJ winsNYI wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
CBJ forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NYI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Palat–Horvat–Barzal | Drouin–Heineman–Ritchie | Lee–Pageau–Holmstrom | Cizikas–MacLean–Gatcomb | Pulock–Schaefer | Pelech–DeAngelo | Mayfield–Soucy | Pelech–Schaefer | Pulock–DeAngelo | Mayfield–Pelech | DeAngelo–Schaefer | Pelech–Pulock | Soucy–Schaefer | Soucy–DeAngelo | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marchment–Marchenko–Fantilli | 1:060.03–0.00 | 6:270.18–0.34 | 3:180.15–0.27 | 1:080.00–0.07 | 8:060.33–0.26 | 1:370.06–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 1:440.07–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.16 | 1:130.11–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.07 | |||
| Coyle–Olivier–Sillinger | 9:580.64–1.09 | 1:350.02–0.00 | 3:220.06–0.53 | 5:480.53–0.23 | 2:420.05–0.28 | 0:490.00–0.06 | 0:340.02–0.00 | |||||||
| Jenner–Monahan–Heinen | 0:340.00–0.00 | 5:080.47–0.11 | 3:500.10–0.14 | 3:040.16–0.01 | 3:350.00–0.03 | 3:460.48–0.17 | 0:390.11–0.00 | |||||||
| Wood–Lundeström–Voronkov | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:590.04–0.00 | 4:040.18–0.10 | 1:550.09–0.10 | 3:140.16–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Severson–Werenski | 10:240.76–0.58 | 2:180.12–0.09 | 2:550.12–0.00 | 1:450.05–0.10 | 6:360.25–0.09 | 7:420.74–0.33 | 3:080.05–0.29 | 1:290.00–0.08 | 1:240.12–0.00 | 1:130.11–0.00 | 0:380.05–0.00 | |||
| Gudbranson–Fabbro | 4:190.18–0.19 | 2:030.04–0.08 | 1:530.12–0.01 | 0:540.04–0.00 | 2:160.00–0.01 | 3:480.16–0.07 | 0:560.00–0.19 | |||||||
| Provorov–Mateychuk | 0:310.00–0.00 | 3:110.00–0.13 | 2:220.10–0.27 | 1:370.00–0.00 | 4:160.10–0.17 | 1:160.00–0.00 | 1:270.00–0.04 | 0:480.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Gudbranson–Provorov | 1:470.00–0.53 | 1:150.00–0.00 | 1:380.00–0.06 | 1:400.12–0.53 | 1:260.00–0.00 | 1:460.00–0.06 | ||||||||
| Fabbro–Mateychuk | 2:270.47–0.03 | 0:380.00–0.07 | 1:050.00–0.01 | 1:160.04–0.02 | 1:010.47–0.00 | |||||||||
| Werenski–Mateychuk | 0:520.06–0.08 | 0:400.06–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
CBJNYIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
| 26 | 28:02 | 1:05 | 1:48 | 6 | 2 | |
| 25 | 26:11 | 1:03 | 1:46 | 7 | 2 | |
| 30 | 25:31 | 0:51 | 1:47 | 3 | 6 | |
| 24 | 22:21 | 0:56 | 1:24 | 2 | 6 | |
| 29 | 22:11 | 0:46 | 1:35 | 1 | 3 | |
| 30 | 21:46 | 0:44 | 1:07 | 1 | 3 | |
| 24 | 20:52 | 0:52 | 1:25 | 3 | 5 | |
| 29 | 19:35 | 0:41 | 1:18 | 2 | 9 | |
| 22 | 19:24 | 0:53 | 1:25 | 9 | 1 | |
| 23 | 19:09 | 0:50 | 2:08 | 1 | 3 | |
| 20 | 19:08 | 0:57 | 1:58 | 1 | 2 | |
| 23 | 18:55 | 0:49 | 1:19 | 4 | 4 | |
| 23 | 18:44 | 0:49 | 2:05 | 1 | 3 | |
| 22 | 18:21 | 0:50 | 1:19 | 7 | 1 | |
| 22 | 17:52 | 0:49 | 1:28 | 9 | 1 | |
| 18 | 17:14 | 0:57 | 1:43 | 2 | 1 | |
| 20 | 17:01 | 0:51 | 1:44 | 1 | 2 | |
| 22 | 16:34 | 0:45 | 1:13 | 6 | 3 | |
| 23 | 16:28 | 0:43 | 1:05 | 2 | 6 | |
| 21 | 16:08 | 0:46 | 1:16 | 4 | 3 | |
| 22 | 16:01 | 0:44 | 1:48 | 3 | 0 | |
| 23 | 15:22 | 0:40 | 1:25 | 1 | 4 | |
| 24 | 15:21 | 0:38 | 1:09 | 1 | 4 | |
| 18 | 15:06 | 0:50 | 1:10 | 1 | 1 | |
| 21 | 14:52 | 0:42 | 1:59 | 2 | 1 | |
| 18 | 14:40 | 0:49 | 1:23 | 0 | 1 | |
| 21 | 14:19 | 0:41 | 2:01 | 2 | 1 | |
| 23 | 14:17 | 0:37 | 1:04 | 2 | 2 | |
| 22 | 14:07 | 0:39 | 1:07 | 0 | 4 | |
| 23 | 14:03 | 0:37 | 1:09 | 1 | 0 | |
| 15 | 10:39 | 0:43 | 1:16 | 1 | 3 | |
| 15 | 10:17 | 0:41 | 1:08 | 0 | 1 | |
| 17 | 9:56 | 0:35 | 0:56 | 1 | 3 | |
| 14 | 9:07 | 0:39 | 1:22 | 1 | 1 | |
| 13 | 8:37 | 0:40 | 1:06 | 0 | 1 | |
| 11 | 8:31 | 0:46 | 1:05 | 0 | 1 |