Sun, Mar 1, 2026·Grand Casino Arena, St. Paul
St. Louis Blues 3, Minnesota Wild 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 58% of the time.
32%
10%
9%
49%
MIN winsSTL wins
St. Louis Blues
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25:57 | 0.30 | 39.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25:28 | 0.04 | 31.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 20:32 | 0.11 | 38.4% | +29.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 18:42 | 0.01 | 42.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:31 | 0.32 | 55.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 17:08 | 0.77 | 67.8% | +33.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 17:07 | 0.27 | 34.1% | +37.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:52 | 0.00 | 62.5% | +29.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 16:41 | 0.06 | 63.1% | +33.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:30 | 0.03 | 61.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:17 | 0.21 | 33.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:21 | 0.24 | 55.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:31 | 0.06 | 91.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:34 | 0.02 | 30.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:24 | 0.08 | 99.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:08 | 0.00 | 30.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:52 | 0.00 | 26.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:38 | 0.03 | 43.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 23 | 22 | 1 | .957 | 2.33 | +1.3 | 60:00 |
Minnesota Wild
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 27:57 | 0.14 | 69.2% | +26.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 25:22 | 0.37 | 68.7% | +26.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:45 | 0.05 | 66.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 20:46 | 0.14 | 62.2% | +26.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:52 | 0.28 | 73.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:20 | 0.23 | 59.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:39 | 0.00 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:07 | 0.08 | 47.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:38 | 0.17 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:00 | 0.15 | 47.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:08 | 0.14 | 63.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:05 | 0.00 | 76.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:00 | 0.04 | 26.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 13:54 | 0.37 | 65.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:26 | 0.00 | 22.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:19 | 0.01 | 19.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:05 | 0.17 | 20.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:04 | 0.00 | 24.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 23 | 21 | 2 | .913 | 1.94 | −0.1 | 58:33 |