Tue, Mar 3, 2026·Honda Center, Anaheim
Colorado Avalanche 5, Anaheim Ducks 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 52% of the time.
40%
8%
9%
43%
ANA winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 22:26 | 0.18 | 54.6% | +45.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:29 | 0.17 | 62.9% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:43 | 0.34 | 66.3% | +6.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:13 | 0.30 | 78.9% | +6.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:27 | 0.23 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:03 | 0.00 | 53.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:20 | 0.15 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:06 | 0.04 | 57.0% | +1.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:03 | 0.19 | 64.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 16:53 | 0.19 | 45.2% | +28.7 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 16:27 | 0.12 | 47.7% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 16:22 | 0.40 | 54.5% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:28 | 0.15 | 43.2% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:51 | 0.12 | 43.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 12:06 | 0.25 | 45.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:49 | 0.25 | 82.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:05 | 0.05 | 72.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:09 | 0.13 | 74.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 27 | 1 | .964 | 3.12 | +2.1 | 60:00 |
Anaheim Ducks
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:42 | 0.11 | 72.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:02 | 0.07 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:57 | 0.27 | 45.6% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:39 | 0.59 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:35 | 0.00 | 48.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:22 | 0.20 | 59.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 18:21 | 0.12 | 24.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:54 | 0.00 | 32.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:20 | 0.15 | 34.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16:54 | 0.55 | 34.1% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:40 | 0.00 | 36.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:05 | 0.23 | 32.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:31 | 0.29 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:28 | 0.07 | 34.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:23 | 0.24 | 46.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:32 | 0.23 | 62.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:10 | 0.02 | 62.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:50 | 0.00 | 43.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 26 | 21 | 5 | .808 | 3.27 | −1.7 | 59:40 |