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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 5, 2026·Madison Square Garden, New York

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, New York Rangers 6

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

2

Final

Home

New York Rangers

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 51% of the time.

NYR winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:13Goal by Maccelli (Nylander)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Gavrikov, Fox, Lafrenière, Perreault · TOR McCabe, Nylander, Matthews, Stecher, Maccelli

  3. P1 0:38Maccelli: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Sheary, Borgen, Kartye, Schneider, Laba · TOR McCabe, Nylander, Matthews, Stecher, Maccelli

  4. P1 2:57Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Shesterkin
  5. P1 3:17Shot by Cuylle, saved by Woll
  6. P1 4:46Shot by Knies, saved by Shesterkin
  7. P1 6:45Goal by Cuylle (Schneider)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Brodzinski, Borgen, Raddysh, Schneider, Cuylle · TOR McCabe, Joshua, Stecher, Robertson, Quillan

  8. P1 9:20Shot by Schneider, saved by Woll
  9. P1 12:55Shot by Lorentz, saved by Shesterkin
  10. P1 13:09Shot by Matthews, saved by Shesterkin
  11. P1 13:30Shot by Rielly, saved by Shesterkin
  12. P1 13:53Shot by Perreault, saved by Woll
  13. P1 15:14Shot by Benoit, saved by Shesterkin
  14. P1 15:34Parssinen: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Robertson, Parssinen, Edstrom, Iorio, Chmelar · TOR Rielly, McCabe, Joshua, Myers, Robertson

  15. P1 17:05Shot by Domi, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  16. P1 18:18Shot by Carlo, saved by Shesterkin
  17. P1 19:47Shot by Robertson, saved by Shesterkin
  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 0:14Shot by Maccelli, saved by Shesterkin
  21. P2 2:32Shot by Iorio, saved by Woll
  22. P2 2:58Shot by Robertson, saved by Shesterkin
  23. P2 4:27Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Woll
  24. P2 4:28Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Woll
  25. P2 5:27Goal by Cowan (Knies, Tavares)+17 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Borgen, Schneider, Lafrenière, Perreault · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Carlo, Knies, Cowan

  26. P2 6:03Shot by Iorio, saved by Woll
  27. P2 6:06Rielly: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Sheary, Robertson, Kartye, Iorio, Laba · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Carlo, Knies, Cowan

  28. P2 7:27Shot by Raddysh, saved by Woll5v4
  29. P2 7:29Goal by Gavrikov (Raddysh, Brodzinski)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Brodzinski, Sheary, Gavrikov, Raddysh, Schneider · TOR Jarnkrok, McCabe, Carlo, Lorentz

  30. P2 8:09Shot by Robertson, saved by Shesterkin
  31. P2 8:45Shot by Matthews, saved by Shesterkin
  32. P2 12:33Shot by Gavrikov, saved by Woll
  33. P2 14:09Shot by Quillan, saved by Shesterkin
  34. P2 14:50Shot by Cuylle, saved by Woll
  35. P2 15:15Shot by Brodzinski, saved by Woll
  36. P2 15:50Shot by Matthews, saved by Shesterkin
  37. P2 18:11Shot by McCabe, saved by Shesterkin
  38. P2 18:35Shot by Robertson, saved by Shesterkin
  39. P2 19:00Shot by Cowan, saved by Shesterkin
  40. P2 19:05Shot by Domi, saved by Shesterkin
  41. P2 19:38Shot by Cowan, saved by Shesterkin
  42. P2 0:00Period end
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 1:04Shot by Knies, saved by Shesterkin
  45. P3 1:21Shot by Raddysh, saved by Woll
  46. P3 1:26Shot by Schneider, saved by Woll
  47. P3 1:47Shot by Iorio, saved by Woll
  48. P3 3:03Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Woll
  49. P3 3:23Shot by Nylander, saved by Shesterkin
  50. P3 3:51Shot by Cuylle, saved by Woll
  51. P3 3:59Shot by Fox, saved by Woll
  52. P3 5:38Goal by Lafrenière (Zibanejad)+34 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Gavrikov, Fox, Lafrenière, Perreault · TOR McCabe, Domi, Joshua, Stecher, Robertson

  53. P3 6:09Shot by Rielly, saved by Shesterkin
  54. P3 6:23Shot by Matthews, saved by Shesterkin
  55. P3 10:27Goal by Chmelar, unassisted+12 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Robertson, Parssinen, Edstrom, Iorio, Chmelar · TOR Rielly, McCabe, Domi, Joshua, Robertson

  56. P3 11:19Goal by Zibanejad (Lafrenière, Fox)+3 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Borgen, Fox, Lafrenière, Cuylle · TOR Tavares, Nylander, Myers, Benoit, Maccelli

  57. P3 12:20Shot by Carlo, saved by Shesterkin
  58. P3 12:23Shot by Nylander, saved by Shesterkin
  59. P3 13:21Shot by Robertson, saved by Woll
  60. P3 14:06Shot by Knies, saved by Shesterkin
  61. P3 14:26Shot by Tavares, saved by Shesterkin5v6
  62. P3 15:26Shot by Joshua, saved by Shesterkin5v6
  63. P3 17:00Shot by Tavares, saved by Shesterkin5v6
  64. P3 17:09Goal by Cuylle (Lafrenière, Zibanejad)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Gavrikov, Fox, Lafrenière, Cuylle · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Matthews, Maccelli, Knies

  65. P3 0:00Period end
  66. P3 0:00Final