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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 5, 2026·Madison Square Garden, New York

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, New York Rangers 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 51% of the time.

NYR winsTOR wins

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Morgan RiellyD · #44000−1220:470.1262.2%0.0
Auston MatthewsC · #340000420:460.5766.5%0.0
Troy StecherD · #28000−1020:250.0048.8%0.0
Jake McCabeD · #22000−2120:230.0244.2%0.0
Brandon CarloD · #25000+1219:480.0263.2%0.0
Matias MaccelliLW · #63101−1219:320.4656.9%+14.6
Philippe MyersD · #51000−1018:260.0036.2%0.0
William NylanderRW · #88011−1218:180.1363.2%+14.6
Matthew KniesLW · #230110317:390.2133.4%+17.4
John TavaresC · #91011−1217:110.5128.8%+17.4
Easton CowanRW · #53101+1316:480.1741.4%+17.4
Simon BenoitD · #2000−1115:360.0134.5%0.0
Nick RobertsonLW · #89000−3414:420.2529.8%0.0
Dakota JoshuaC · #81000−3113:270.1743.7%0.0
Max DomiC · #11000−2213:090.2144.0%0.0
Calle JarnkrokC · #190000111:400.0461.3%0.0
Steven LorentzC · #180000111:070.2170.6%0.0
Jacob QuillanC · #26000−119:530.1353.6%0.0
Joseph Woll#60L23185.7832.62−2.457:00

New York Rangers

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Adam FoxD · #23011+2123:130.0868.5%+2.8
Vladislav GavrikovD · #44101+1222:250.1360.9%+16.4
Mika ZibanejadC · #93123+1221:120.2659.4%+36.9
Alexis LafrenièreLW · #13123+1320:550.4353.1%+36.9
Braden SchneiderD · #40110219:560.0535.6%+15.0
Will BorgenD · #17000+1018:040.0036.2%0.0
Will CuylleLW · #50202+3517:571.1651.0%+15.1
Matthew RobertsonD · #29000+1117:510.0242.2%0.0
Gabe PerreaultRW · #94000−1117:480.2846.9%0.0
Tye KartyeLW · #240000016:550.0961.8%0.0
Vincent IorioD · #6000+1316:140.2143.4%0.0
Noah LabaC · #420000015:510.1461.0%0.0
Conor ShearyLW · #430000015:030.0885.4%0.0
Taylor RaddyshRW · #14011+1213:400.1236.7%+16.4
Jonny BrodzinskiC · #22011+1113:110.0638.6%+16.4
Jaroslav ChmelarRW · #49101+119:320.1728.3%+11.9
Juuso ParssinenC · #71000+109:230.0032.0%0.0
Adam EdstromC · #84000+108:540.0051.3%0.0
Igor Shesterkin#31W32302.9383.21+1.259:56