Thu, Mar 5, 2026·Madison Square Garden, New York
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, New York Rangers 6
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 51% of the time.
43%
8%
9%
39%
NYR winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:47 | 0.12 | 62.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20:46 | 0.57 | 66.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:25 | 0.00 | 48.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:23 | 0.02 | 44.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:48 | 0.02 | 63.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:32 | 0.46 | 56.9% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:26 | 0.00 | 36.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:18 | 0.13 | 63.2% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:39 | 0.21 | 33.4% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:11 | 0.51 | 28.8% | +17.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:48 | 0.17 | 41.4% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:36 | 0.01 | 34.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 4 | 14:42 | 0.25 | 29.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 13:27 | 0.17 | 43.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 13:09 | 0.21 | 44.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:40 | 0.04 | 61.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:07 | 0.21 | 70.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:53 | 0.13 | 53.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 23 | 18 | 5 | .783 | 2.62 | −2.4 | 57:00 |
New York Rangers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 23:13 | 0.08 | 68.5% | +2.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:25 | 0.13 | 60.9% | +16.4 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 2 | 21:12 | 0.26 | 59.4% | +36.9 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 20:55 | 0.43 | 53.1% | +36.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:56 | 0.05 | 35.6% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:04 | 0.00 | 36.2% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 5 | 17:57 | 1.16 | 51.0% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:51 | 0.02 | 42.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:48 | 0.28 | 46.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:55 | 0.09 | 61.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 16:14 | 0.21 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:51 | 0.14 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:03 | 0.08 | 85.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:40 | 0.12 | 36.7% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:11 | 0.06 | 38.6% | +16.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:32 | 0.17 | 28.3% | +11.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 9:23 | 0.00 | 32.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 8:54 | 0.00 | 51.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 32 | 30 | 2 | .938 | 3.21 | +1.2 | 59:56 |