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Ice Lab

Fri, Mar 6, 2026·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Florida Panthers 3, Detroit Red Wings 1

Away

Florida Panthers

3

Final

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Detroit Red Wings

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 71% of the time.

DET winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:31Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Bobrovsky
  3. P1 3:09Shot by Mikkola, saved by Gibson
  4. P1 6:00Shot by Finnie, saved by Bobrovsky
  5. P1 6:36Shot by Sebrango, saved by Gibson
  6. P1 9:32Shot by Marchand, saved by Gibson
  7. P1 9:40Shot by Sebrango, saved by Gibson
  8. P1 11:06Goal by Tkachuk (Verhaeghe)+16 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kane, Chiarot, DeBrincat, Rasmussen, Johansson · FLA Verhaeghe, Ekblad, Bennett, Forsling, Tkachuk

  9. P1 12:18Shot by Seider, saved by Bobrovsky
  10. P1 12:43Shot by Larkin, saved by Bobrovsky
  11. P1 13:21Shot by Kasper, saved by Bobrovsky
  12. P1 14:07Shot by Lundell, saved by Gibson
  13. P1 17:38Shot by Finnie, saved by Bobrovsky
  14. P1 17:42Shot by Chiarot, saved by Bobrovsky
  15. P1 18:37Shot by Edvinsson, saved by Bobrovsky
  16. P1 19:10Verhaeghe: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Compher, Larkin, Bernard-Docker, Raymond · FLA Verhaeghe, Bennett, Forsling, Tkachuk, Balinskis

  17. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  18. P2 0:00Period start
  19. P2 1:41Shot by Lundell, saved by Gibson
  20. P2 2:02Kane: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET van Riemsdyk, Kane, Chiarot, Rasmussen, Bernard-Docker · FLA Reinhart, Rodrigues, Mikkola, Lundell, Sebrango

  21. P2 4:00Shot by Mikkola, saved by Gibson4v5
  22. P2 4:16Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Gibson
  23. P2 5:35Shot by Raymond, saved by Bobrovsky
  24. P2 6:03Shot by Chiarot, saved by Bobrovsky
  25. P2 8:55Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Bobrovsky
  26. P2 9:55Shot by Raymond, saved by Bobrovsky
  27. P2 9:58Lundell: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Compher, Larkin, Seider, Raymond, Edvinsson · FLA Reinhart, Rodrigues, Mikkola, Lundell, Balinskis

  28. P2 10:24Shot by Kane, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  29. P2 10:28Forsling: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Kane, Copp, DeBrincat, Johansson, Raymond · FLA Nosek, Ekblad, Forsling, Luostarinen

  30. P2 10:49Shot by Seider, saved by Bobrovsky5v3
  31. P2 10:56Goal by DeBrincat (Kane, Larkin)5v3+18 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kane, Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond · FLA Nosek, Ekblad, Mikkola

  32. P2 11:26Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Gibson5v4
  33. P2 12:08Shot by Raymond, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  34. P2 12:12Shot by Sandin-Pellikka, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  35. P2 14:29Shot by Edvinsson, saved by Bobrovsky
  36. P2 19:01Bernard-Docker: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Copp, Appleton, DeBrincat, Bernard-Docker · FLA Rodrigues, Mikkola, Tkachuk, Lundell, Balinskis

  37. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  38. P3 0:00Period start
  39. P3 0:35Goal by Tkachuk (Reinhart, Marchand)4v5+21 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Larkin, Rasmussen, Johansson · FLA Marchand, Ekblad, Reinhart, Bennett, Tkachuk

  40. P3 0:51Edvinsson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kane, Copp, DeBrincat, Seider, Edvinsson · FLA Greer, Mikkola, Boqvist, Luostarinen, Balinskis

  41. P3 0:58Shot by Bennett, saved by Gibson4v5
  42. P3 1:06Shot by Larkin, saved by Bobrovsky4v5
  43. P3 2:11Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Gibson4v5
  44. P3 2:45Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Gibson4v5
  45. P3 2:46Shot by Lundell, saved by Gibson4v5
  46. P3 3:06Shot by Nosek, saved by Gibson
  47. P3 4:58Shot by Raymond, saved by Bobrovsky
  48. P3 5:00Shot by Larkin, saved by Bobrovsky
  49. P3 5:54Shot by Sebrango, saved by Gibson
  50. P3 6:40Shot by Mikkola, saved by Gibson
  51. P3 6:47Shot by Reinhart, saved by Gibson
  52. P3 6:51Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Gibson
  53. P3 7:54Shot by Kane, saved by Bobrovsky
  54. P3 8:20Shot by Copp, saved by Bobrovsky
  55. P3 8:58Shot by Samoskevich, saved by Gibson
  56. P3 9:30Shot by Larkin, saved by Bobrovsky
  57. P3 10:27Shot by Seider, saved by Bobrovsky
  58. P3 11:16Shot by Kane, saved by Bobrovsky
  59. P3 12:44Shot by Ekblad, saved by Gibson
  60. P3 13:32Shot by Kasper, saved by Bobrovsky
  61. P3 14:39Samoskevich: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Compher, Bernard-Docker, Raymond, Finnie · FLA Ekblad, Reinhart, Forsling, Rodrigues, Lundell

  62. P3 17:09Shot by Sandin-Pellikka, saved by Bobrovsky
  63. P3 18:08Goal by Tkachuk, unassisted6v5+8 pts WP

    On ice: DET van Riemsdyk, Kane, DeBrincat, Johansson, Edvinsson, Kasper · FLA Verhaeghe, Ekblad, Bennett, Forsling, Tkachuk

  64. P3 19:32Shot by Finnie, saved by Bobrovsky6v5
  65. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  66. P3 0:00Final6v5