Fri, Mar 6, 2026·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise
Minnesota Wild 4, Vegas Golden Knights 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 63% of the time.
29%
9%
55%
VGK winsMIN wins
Minnesota Wild
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 27:46 | 0.08 | 46.8% | +8.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:46 | 0.09 | 48.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 21:37 | 0.07 | 61.6% | +2.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:21 | 0.34 | 32.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19:37 | 1.06 | 33.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 19:23 | 0.08 | 55.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:52 | 0.16 | 49.5% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:41 | 0.00 | 32.9% | +8.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 16:40 | 0.65 | 50.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:37 | 0.05 | 41.6% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:08 | 0.02 | 26.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:28 | 0.09 | 32.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 12:58 | 0.56 | 37.9% | +2.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 11:53 | 0.00 | 46.5% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:59 | 0.23 | 53.7% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:59 | 0.00 | 75.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 10:41 | 0.09 | 54.1% | +10.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 10:39 | 0.22 | 63.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 29 | 2 | .935 | 3.02 | +1.0 | 60:00 |
Vegas Golden Knights
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 24:30 | 0.28 | 54.7% | +6.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:52 | 0.01 | 38.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:57 | 0.29 | 62.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 20:58 | 0.00 | 66.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:54 | 0.04 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:50 | 0.27 | 59.1% | +6.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:30 | 0.26 | 60.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 18:01 | 0.33 | 47.2% | +7.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 15:55 | 0.40 | 45.9% | +1.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:39 | 0.24 | 58.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:37 | 0.07 | 65.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 14:27 | 0.08 | 52.8% | +1.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:41 | 0.22 | 56.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:17 | 0.13 | 59.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:08 | 0.06 | 64.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:31 | 0.14 | 41.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 8:39 | 0.15 | 66.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 8:09 | 0.06 | 55.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 24 | 20 | 4 | .833 | 2.68 | −1.3 | 58:25 |