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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 10, 2026·Enterprise Center, St. Louis

New York Islanders 4, St. Louis Blues 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 86% of the time.

STL winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:28Shot by Schenn, saved by Hofer
  3. P1 0:29Shot by Schenn, saved by Hofer
  4. P1 1:18Shot by Heineman, saved by Hofer
  5. P1 2:59Shot by Soucy, saved by Hofer
  6. P1 3:56Shot by Heineman, saved by Hofer
  7. P1 4:06Goal by Broberg (Snuggerud, Thomas)+13 pts WP

    On ice: STL Thomas, Broberg, Holloway, Mailloux, Snuggerud · NYI Pelech, Horvat, DeAngelo, Barzal, Heineman

  8. P1 4:16Kyrou: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: STL Fowler, Kyrou, Tucker, Neighbours, Dvorsky · NYI Lee, Pageau, Pulock, Holmstrom, Schaefer

  9. P1 4:22Shot by Schaefer, saved by Hofer4v5
  10. P1 5:11Shot by Ritchie, saved by Hofer4v5
  11. P1 5:12Shot by Ritchie, saved by Hofer4v5
  12. P1 7:18Shot by Snuggerud, saved by Sorokin
  13. P1 8:20Shot by Broberg, saved by Sorokin
  14. P1 8:48Shot by Lee, saved by Hofer
  15. P1 9:02Shot by Lee, saved by Hofer
  16. P1 9:40Shot by Shabanov, saved by Hofer
  17. P1 10:17Shot by Soucy, saved by Hofer
  18. P1 10:44Shot by Horvat, saved by Hofer
  19. P1 11:10Shot by Holloway, saved by Sorokin
  20. P1 14:17Shot by Horvat, saved by Hofer
  21. P1 16:53Shot by Shabanov, saved by Hofer
  22. P1 17:06Shot by Suter, saved by Sorokin
  23. P1 17:32Shot by Horvat, saved by Hofer
  24. P1 19:33Snuggerud: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: STL Buchnevich, Drouin, Suter, Broberg, Mailloux · NYI Lee, Pelech, Horvat, Barzal, Holmstrom, Schaefer

  25. P1 19:58Shot by Horvat, saved by Hofer4v5
  26. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:47Shot by Ritchie, saved by Hofer4v5
  29. P2 1:49Shot by Lee, saved by Hofer
  30. P2 2:09Shot by Lee, saved by Hofer
  31. P2 3:20Shot by Schaefer, saved by Hofer
  32. P2 3:34Shot by Palat, saved by Hofer
  33. P2 3:59Shot by Schenn, saved by Hofer
  34. P2 5:16Gatcomb: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: STL Parayko, Thomas, Holloway, Snuggerud, Lindstein · NYI Lee, Pageau, Pulock, Holmstrom, Schaefer

  35. P2 5:48Shot by Snuggerud, saved by Sorokin5v4
  36. P2 6:06Shot by Snuggerud, saved by Sorokin5v4
  37. P2 6:07Shot by Snuggerud, saved by Sorokin5v4
  38. P2 8:25Shot by Horvat, saved by Hofer
  39. P2 8:26Shot by Barzal, saved by Hofer
  40. P2 9:10Goal by Holloway (Fowler, Snuggerud)+14 pts WP

    On ice: STL Fowler, Thomas, Tucker, Holloway, Snuggerud · NYI Cizikas, Pulock, DeAngelo, Gatcomb, Shabanov

  41. P2 10:37Goal by Snuggerud (Thomas, Lindstein)+7 pts WP

    On ice: STL Parayko, Thomas, Holloway, Snuggerud, Lindstein · NYI Schenn, Palat, Mayfield, Soucy, Ritchie

  42. P2 11:28Shot by Schaefer, saved by Hofer
  43. P2 11:28Shot by Heineman, saved by Hofer
  44. P2 11:47Shot by Heineman, saved by Hofer
  45. P2 15:42Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Sorokin
  46. P2 16:52Shot by Kyrou, saved by Sorokin
  47. P2 17:50Goal by Pageau (Schaefer, Barzal)+6 pts WP

    On ice: STL Broberg, Holloway, Mailloux, Snuggerud, Dvorsky · NYI Lee, Pageau, Pelech, Barzal, Schaefer

  48. P2 18:19Shot by Snuggerud, saved by Sorokin6v5
  49. P2 18:20Pelech: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: STL Fowler, Parayko, Kyrou, Thomas, Holloway, Snuggerud · NYI Pelech, Horvat, Barzal, Heineman, Schaefer

  50. P2 19:51Shot by Thomas, saved by Sorokin5v4
  51. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 0:32Shot by Schaefer, saved by Hofer
  54. P3 0:34Shot by Soucy, saved by Hofer
  55. P3 2:26Shot by Kyrou, saved by Sorokin
  56. P3 3:00Shot by Suter, saved by Sorokin
  57. P3 3:01Shot by Finley, saved by Sorokin
  58. P3 4:53Shot by Gatcomb, saved by Hofer
  59. P3 5:03Buchnevich: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: STL Fowler, Buchnevich, Drouin, Tucker, Stenberg · NYI Schenn, Mayfield, Pelech, Gatcomb, Ritchie

  60. P3 5:32Shot by Horvat, saved by Hofer4v5
  61. P3 5:48Shot by Barzal, saved by Hofer4v5
  62. P3 5:50Shot by Horvat, saved by Hofer4v5
  63. P3 5:52Goal by Ritchie, unassisted4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: STL Parayko, Toropchenko, Broberg, Finley · NYI Schenn, Horvat, Barzal, Ritchie, Schaefer

  64. P3 6:32Shot by Lee, saved by Hofer4v5
  65. P3 6:46Shot by Schenn, saved by Hofer4v5
  66. P3 6:52Goal by Horvat (Ritchie, Barzal)4v5+35 pts WP

    On ice: STL Parayko, Tucker, Holloway, Finley · NYI Schenn, Horvat, Barzal, Ritchie, Schaefer

  67. P3 7:29Shot by Palat, saved by Hofer
  68. P3 9:07Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Hofer
  69. P3 9:11Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Hofer
  70. P3 9:57Shot by Suter, saved by Sorokin
  71. P3 13:50Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Sorokin
  72. P3 14:03Shot by Broberg, saved by Sorokin
  73. P3 16:43Shot by Schaefer, saved by Hofer
  74. P3 16:52Shot by Snuggerud, saved by Sorokin
  75. P3 17:44Shot by Mailloux, saved by Sorokin
  76. P3 19:42Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Hofer
  77. P3 19:43Shot by Schaefer, saved by Hofer
  78. P3 19:54Shot by Heineman, saved by Hofer
  79. P3 19:58Shot by Barzal, saved by Hofer
  80. P3 0:00Period end
  81. OT 0:00Period start
  82. OT 0:41Shot by Horvat, saved by Hofer3v3
  83. OT 1:39Shot by Schenn, saved by Hofer3v3
  84. OT 1:49Shot by Snuggerud, saved by Sorokin3v3
  85. OT 2:11Goal by Barzal (Schenn, DeAngelo)3v3+49 pts WP

    On ice: STL Buchnevich, Kyrou, Mailloux · NYI Schenn, DeAngelo, Barzal

  86. OT 2:11Period end3v3
  87. OT 2:11Final4v4