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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 10, 2026·Enterprise Center, St. Louis

New York Islanders 4, St. Louis Blues 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 86% of the time.

STL winsNYI wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

STL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NYI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Horvat–Barzal–HeinemanLee–Pageau–HolmstromCizikas–Gatcomb–ShabanovSchenn–Palat–RitchieLee–Palat–PageauHorvat–Holmstrom–HeinemanSchenn–Barzal–RitchieSchenn–Holmstrom–RitchiePelech–DeAngeloPulock–SchaeferMayfield–SoucyPelech–SchaeferPelech–PulockSoucy–SchaeferDeAngelo–SchaeferSoucy–DeAngelo
Thomas–Holloway–Snuggerud2:570.24–0.121:230.08–0.241:240.22–0.000:360.00–0.000:490.00–0.000:480.04–0.002:110.09–0.063:110.17–0.072:340.22–0.110:300.00–0.13
Buchnevich–Drouin–Stenberg3:100.25–0.151:080.00–0.030:530.02–0.002:130.07–0.240:330.00–0.001:380.07–0.032:570.00–0.192:490.19–0.140:570.09–0.000:410.00–0.15
Kyrou–Neighbours–Dvorsky1:410.04–0.052:260.19–0.091:080.00–0.020:380.00–0.001:300.00–0.163:250.00–0.121:290.06–0.001:270.00–0.180:410.00–0.00
Toropchenko–Suter–Finley0:370.00–0.001:380.35–0.062:370.15–0.294:200.50–0.350:300.00–0.000:300.00–0.00
Buchnevich–Holloway–Snuggerud0:320.12–0.080:430.00–0.00
Holloway–Finley–Snuggerud1:080.03–0.00
Suter–Holloway–Snuggerud0:300.00–0.000:320.00–0.24
Broberg–Mailloux8:190.61–0.681:420.19–0.241:220.00–0.110:510.07–0.000:370.03–0.001:100.00–0.002:140.16–0.055:090.15–0.454:040.28–0.131:130.03–0.190:530.09–0.131:090.00–0.15
Fowler–Tucker1:120.06–0.033:050.08–0.122:530.08–0.251:350.00–0.050:370.00–0.000:490.04–0.004:210.00–0.382:550.11–0.003:080.02–0.151:100.04–0.00
Parayko–Lindstein1:000.00–0.003:370.38–0.391:550.15–0.063:250.22–0.191:260.00–0.165:530.50–0.122:340.00–0.422:140.22–0.160:310.06–0.000:330.00–0.00
Fowler–Parayko0:410.00–0.000:400.00–0.000:440.00–0.240:310.00–0.00
Parayko–Mailloux
Fowler–Mailloux
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndStenberg FBuchnevich FDrouin FThomas FSnuggerud FHolloway FKyrou FDvorsky FNeighbours FToropchenko FSuter FFinley FFowler DTucker DMailloux DBroberg DParayko DLindstein DHofer GSchenn FRitchie FPalat FBarzal FHeineman FHorvat FPageau FLee FHolmstrom FGatcomb FShabanov FCizikas FPulock DSchaefer DSoucy DMayfield DPelech DDeAngelo DSorokin G
STLNYIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Matthew SchaeferNYI3327:210:501:4721
Philip BrobergSTL2724:070:541:2523
Logan MaillouxSTL2723:390:531:2121
Bo HorvatNYI2721:530:491:2541
Colton ParaykoSTL2921:450:451:2028
Adam PelechNYI3221:440:411:1824
Mathew BarzalNYI2621:210:491:2741
Cam FowlerSTL2620:250:471:2222
Dylan HollowaySTL2420:220:511:1820
Jimmy SnuggerudSTL2419:460:491:2520
Tony DeAngeloNYI2719:410:441:1732
Ryan PulockNYI3119:100:371:4303
Pavel BuchnevichSTL2519:040:461:1814
Simon HolmstromNYI2518:410:451:1723
Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI2417:550:451:2712
Brayden SchennNYI2117:060:491:2451
Anders LeeNYI2116:280:471:1511
Emil HeinemanNYI2216:220:451:1412
Robert ThomasSTL2216:210:451:2211
Jonathan DrouinSTL2115:500:451:2132
Carson SoucyNYI2315:190:401:1201
Tyler TuckerSTL1915:110:481:1303
Jordan KyrouSTL2215:020:411:3212
Pius SuterSTL1914:020:441:5324
Calum RitchieNYI1914:020:441:2550
Jake NeighboursSTL2013:580:421:0712
Scott MayfieldNYI2313:530:360:5901
Theo LindsteinSTL2213:390:371:0324
Dalibor DvorskySTL1813:270:451:1812
Otto StenbergSTL1812:590:431:0103
Ondrej PalatNYI1612:190:461:1900
Jack FinleySTL1910:510:340:57110
Alexey ToropchenkoSTL1510:320:421:1017
Maxim ShabanovNYI1410:070:431:1430
Casey CizikasNYI1510:070:401:3331
Marc GatcombNYI139:250:431:2930