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Ice Lab

Wed, Mar 11, 2026·Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia

Washington Capitals 1, Philadelphia Flyers 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 53% of the time.

PHI winsWSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:51Shot by Sourdif, saved by Ersson
  3. P1 2:27Shot by Duhaime, saved by Ersson
  4. P1 2:45Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Ersson
  5. P1 2:58Shot by Sanheim, saved by Thompson
  6. P1 4:13Shot by Tippett, saved by Thompson
  7. P1 4:16Liljegren: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Juulsen, Grundstrom, Tippett, Zegras · WSH Wilson, Strome, Liljegren, Fehérváry, Protas

  8. P1 5:38Shot by Drysdale, saved by Thompson5v4
  9. P1 6:48Shot by Sourdif, saved by Ersson
  10. P1 7:07Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Ersson
  11. P1 7:36Shot by Dvorak, saved by Thompson
  12. P1 9:03Zegras: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Sanheim, Grundstrom, Tippett, Zegras, York · WSH Roy, Duhaime, Fehérváry, Lapierre, Frank

  13. P1 9:51Goal by Leonard (Ovechkin, Dubois)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Couturier, Glendening, Ristolainen, Sanheim · WSH Ovechkin, Strome, Chychrun, Dubois, Leonard

  14. P1 11:57Chychrun: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Ristolainen, Sanheim, Grundstrom, Tippett, Zegras · WSH Wilson, van Riemsdyk, Strome, Chychrun, Protas

  15. P1 13:19Shot by Bump, saved by Thompson5v4
  16. P1 14:01Shot by Glendening, saved by Thompson
  17. P1 14:03Grebenkin: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Couturier, Glendening, Ristolainen, Sanheim, Grebenkin · WSH Roy, Chychrun, Duhaime, Fehérváry, McMichael

  18. P1 14:03Duhaime: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Couturier, Glendening, Ristolainen, Sanheim, Grebenkin · WSH Roy, Chychrun, Duhaime, Fehérváry, McMichael

  19. P1 14:52Shot by Sourdif, saved by Ersson4v4
  20. P1 15:14Ristolainen: Tripping (2 min)4v4

    On ice: PHI Ristolainen, Sanheim, Dvorak, Konecny · WSH Strome, Roy, Sandin, Protas

  21. P1 19:00Shot by Zegras, saved by Thompson
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:30Shot by Dvorak, saved by Thompson
  25. P2 0:32Shot by Dvorak, saved by Thompson
  26. P2 1:33Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Ersson
  27. P2 4:04Shot by Leonard, saved by Ersson
  28. P2 4:23Goal by Konecny (Sanheim, Bump)+17 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Sanheim, Konecny, Juulsen, Grundstrom, Zegras · WSH Chychrun, Dubois, Sandin, McMichael, Leonard

  29. P2 5:01Shot by Grebenkin, saved by Thompson
  30. P2 5:37Shot by Fehérváry, saved by Ersson
  31. P2 5:46Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Ersson
  32. P2 5:48Shot by Sourdif, saved by Ersson
  33. P2 9:18Shot by Wilson, saved by Ersson
  34. P2 12:13Goal by Zegras (Tippett, Grundstrom)+26 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Ristolainen, Sanheim, Grundstrom, Tippett, Zegras · WSH Wilson, van Riemsdyk, Strome, Chychrun, Protas

  35. P2 12:49Shot by Drysdale, saved by Thompson
  36. P2 15:45Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Thompson
  37. P2 17:09Shot by Roy, saved by Ersson
  38. P2 19:05Shot by Tippett, saved by Thompson
  39. P2 0:00Period end
  40. P3 0:00Period start
  41. P3 4:54Shot by Tippett, saved by Thompson
  42. P3 6:09Wilson: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Couturier, Ristolainen, Sanheim, Konecny, Grebenkin · WSH Wilson, Roy, Dubois, Sandin, Protas

  43. P3 6:09Konecny: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Couturier, Ristolainen, Sanheim, Konecny, Grebenkin · WSH Wilson, Roy, Dubois, Sandin, Protas

  44. P3 7:08Shot by Zegras, saved by Thompson4v4
  45. P3 7:10Shot by York, saved by Thompson4v4
  46. P3 7:17Goal by Drysdale (Cates, York)4v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Cates, Zegras, York, Drysdale · WSH Strome, Roy, Chychrun, Protas

  47. P3 7:56Shot by Roy, saved by Ersson4v4
  48. P3 8:13Shot by Wilson, saved by Ersson
  49. P3 8:46Couturier: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: PHI Couturier, Glendening, Ristolainen, Sanheim, Grebenkin · WSH Ovechkin, Wilson, Strome, Chychrun, Dubois, Sandin

  50. P3 9:49Shot by Chychrun, saved by Ersson4v5
  51. P3 9:51Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Ersson4v5
  52. P3 11:42Shot by Liljegren, saved by Ersson
  53. P3 12:03Shot by Frank, saved by Ersson
  54. P3 12:32Shot by McMichael, saved by Ersson
  55. P3 12:52Shot by McMichael, saved by Ersson
  56. P3 13:44Shot by Tippett, saved by Thompson
  57. P3 16:58Shot by Tippett, saved by Thompson
  58. P3 17:37Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Ersson5v6
  59. P3 18:57Goal by Tippett (Dvorak, Cates)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Ristolainen, Sanheim, Dvorak, Tippett, Cates · WSH Ovechkin, Wilson, Strome, Chychrun, Dubois, Leonard

  60. P3 0:00Duhaime: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Couturier, Juulsen, Grebenkin, Barkey · WSH van Riemsdyk, Beauvillier, Duhaime, Liljegren, Sourdif

  61. P3 0:00Grebenkin: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Couturier, Juulsen, Grebenkin, Barkey · WSH van Riemsdyk, Beauvillier, Duhaime, Liljegren, Sourdif

  62. P3 0:00Grebenkin: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Couturier, Juulsen, Grebenkin, Barkey · WSH van Riemsdyk, Beauvillier, Duhaime, Liljegren, Sourdif

  63. P3 0:00Period end4v5
  64. P3 0:00Final4v5