Wed, Mar 11, 2026·Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia
Washington Capitals 1, Philadelphia Flyers 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 53% of the time.
44%
8%
9%
39%
PHI winsWSH wins
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 1 | 24:44 | 0.10 | 45.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 21:39 | 0.46 | 61.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:54 | 0.05 | 53.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:19 | 0.03 | 75.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:09 | 0.02 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 18:38 | 0.26 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 18:10 | 0.20 | 51.7% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:03 | 0.24 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17:32 | 0.61 | 75.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:31 | 0.13 | 38.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:25 | 0.03 | 52.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 15:45 | 0.41 | 72.3% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:48 | 0.02 | 59.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 14:35 | 0.39 | 37.8% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:27 | 0.00 | 70.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:46 | 0.13 | 76.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:10 | 0.01 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:55 | 0.07 | 54.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 21 | 18 | 3 | .857 | 2.22 | −0.8 | 58:30 |
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 24:01 | 0.04 | 45.2% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 23:10 | 0.11 | 35.2% | +12.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 21:59 | 0.25 | 38.2% | +12.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 21:51 | 0.06 | 34.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:44 | 0.31 | 48.7% | +0.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:01 | 0.18 | 51.4% | +17.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 16:40 | 1.14 | 59.5% | +26.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 | 16:22 | 0.15 | 50.2% | +26.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:24 | 0.00 | 28.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:47 | 0.00 | 67.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:44 | 0.07 | 29.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:46 | 0.09 | 25.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:14 | 0.52 | 55.3% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:10 | 0.19 | 28.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 12:00 | 0.18 | 63.6% | +26.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:36 | 0.00 | 29.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 11:28 | 0.00 | 45.1% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:15 | 0.03 | 64.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 23 | 22 | 1 | .957 | 3.19 | +2.2 | 60:00 |