Sat, Mar 14, 2026·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Detroit Red Wings 2, Dallas Stars 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 52% of the time.
43%
9%
9%
39%
DAL winsDET wins
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 27:44 | 0.26 | 61.0% | +12.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:14 | 0.05 | 58.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:03 | 0.07 | 75.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:40 | 0.56 | 76.5% | +45.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 21:24 | 0.30 | 52.9% | +12.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:28 | 0.27 | 89.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:23 | 0.01 | 54.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:37 | 0.34 | 63.4% | +45.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:05 | 0.13 | 46.6% | +45.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:34 | 0.37 | 61.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:46 | 0.18 | 63.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:36 | 0.00 | 68.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:20 | 0.00 | 58.4% | +12.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:43 | 0.04 | 56.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:10 | 0.00 | 5.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:10 | 0.11 | 27.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:33 | 0.00 | 7.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:54 | 0.11 | 30.2% | 0.0 |
| O | 24 | 21 | 3 | .875 | 2.94 | −0.1 | 62:06 |
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 25:39 | 0.10 | 47.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22:43 | 0.32 | 47.4% | +50.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22:11 | 0.43 | 57.7% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:42 | 0.13 | 42.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 19:52 | 0.44 | 57.6% | +65.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:42 | 0.09 | 38.5% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:58 | 0.14 | 58.3% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:07 | 0.01 | 45.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:58 | 0.04 | 20.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:42 | 0.21 | 44.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:11 | 0.12 | 58.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14:38 | 0.45 | 29.0% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:27 | 0.10 | 30.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:12 | 0.11 | 39.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:56 | 0.00 | 42.7% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:32 | 0.25 | 9.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:29 | 0.00 | 8.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:33 | 0.00 | 1.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 24 | 22 | 2 | .917 | 2.79 | +0.8 | 61:52 |