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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 16, 2026·American Airlines Center, Dallas

Utah Mammoth 6, Dallas Stars 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 65% of the time.

DAL winsUTA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 4:41Shot by Lundkvist, saved by Vanecek
  3. P1 5:36Shot by Bichsel, saved by Vanecek
  4. P1 6:17Goal by Steel (Benn, Lindell)+14 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Benn, Duchene, Lindell, Steel, Heiskanen · UTA Schmidt, Schmaltz, Crouse, Marino, Keller

  5. P1 7:59Shot by Schmidt, saved by DeSmith
  6. P1 8:22Shot by Myers, saved by Vanecek
  7. P1 11:26Erne: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: DAL Lindell, Erne, Bäck, Lundkvist, Hyry · UTA Kerfoot, Schmidt, Marino, Tanev, Yamamoto

  8. P1 11:26Tanev: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: DAL Lindell, Erne, Bäck, Lundkvist, Hyry · UTA Kerfoot, Schmidt, Marino, Tanev, Yamamoto

  9. P1 12:11Goal by Keller (Sergachev)+16 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Blackwell, Bunting, Lundkvist, Harley, Hryckowian · UTA Weegar, Schmaltz, Crouse, Keller, Sergachev

  10. P1 13:32Shot by Benn, saved by Vanecek
  11. P1 13:34Shot by Benn, saved by Vanecek
  12. P1 14:02Shot by Harley, saved by Vanecek
  13. P1 15:02Bichsel: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: DAL Myers, Bunting, Robertson, Bichsel, Hryckowian · UTA Schmidt, Marino, Carcone, Hayton, McBain

  14. P1 15:02McBain: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: DAL Myers, Bunting, Robertson, Bichsel, Hryckowian · UTA Schmidt, Marino, Carcone, Hayton, McBain

  15. P1 15:49Shot by Robertson, saved by Vanecek
  16. P1 16:13Shot by Duchene, saved by Vanecek
  17. P1 16:27Steel: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Benn, Myers, Duchene, Lindell, Steel · UTA Cole, Marino, Keller, Guenther, Cooley

  18. P1 19:53Shot by Myers, saved by Vanecek
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 1:17Marino: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Robertson, Heiskanen, Harley, Bourque, Johnston · UTA Schmidt, Schmaltz, Crouse, Marino, Keller

  22. P2 3:01Shot by Bourque, saved by Vanecek5v4
  23. P2 4:29Shot by Benn, saved by Vanecek
  24. P2 6:13Shot by McBain, saved by DeSmith
  25. P2 7:02Shot by Weegar, saved by DeSmith
  26. P2 7:20Goal by Schmidt (Cooley)+18 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Erne, Bäck, Lundkvist, Harley, Hyry · UTA Schmidt, Marino, Peterka, Guenther, Cooley

  27. P2 7:30Shot by Yamamoto, saved by DeSmith
  28. P2 8:57Durzi: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Myers, Robertson, Bourque, Johnston, Bichsel · UTA Schmidt, Schmaltz, Carcone, Durzi, McBain

  29. P2 9:09Shot by Benn, saved by Vanecek5v4
  30. P2 9:10Shot by Johnston, saved by Vanecek5v4
  31. P2 11:07Shot by Harley, saved by Vanecek
  32. P2 11:26Shot by Keller, saved by DeSmith
  33. P2 12:12Shot by Steel, saved by Vanecek
  34. P2 12:29Shot by Cooley, saved by DeSmith
  35. P2 12:38Shot by Cole, saved by DeSmith
  36. P2 12:44Shot by Hayton, saved by DeSmith
  37. P2 14:26Shot by Harley, saved by Vanecek
  38. P2 14:58Shot by Cooley, saved by DeSmith
  39. P2 15:34Goal by Johnston (Heiskanen, Robertson)+19 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Lindell, Robertson, Heiskanen, Bourque, Johnston · UTA Cole, Durzi, Peterka, Guenther, Cooley

  40. P2 17:24Shot by Bunting, saved by Vanecek
  41. P2 18:17Shot by Johnston, saved by Vanecek
  42. P2 18:31Shot by Weegar, saved by DeSmith
  43. P2 18:37Shot by Sergachev, saved by DeSmith
  44. P2 0:00Period end
  45. P3 0:00Period start
  46. P3 0:15Shot by Hayton, saved by DeSmith
  47. P3 1:51Shot by Guenther, saved by DeSmith
  48. P3 3:04Hayton: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DAL Benn, Myers, Duchene, Steel, Robertson, Bichsel · UTA Schmidt, Marino, Carcone, Hayton, McBain

  49. P3 3:44Shot by Robertson, saved by Vanecek5v4
  50. P3 4:16Goal by McBain, unassisted5v4+23 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Duchene, Bunting, Robertson, Heiskanen, Johnston · UTA Kerfoot, Schmidt, Weegar, McBain

  51. P3 5:04Shot by Hryckowian, saved by Vanecek
  52. P3 7:45Shot by Carcone, saved by DeSmith
  53. P3 8:05Goal by Yamamoto (Kerfoot)+16 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Duchene, Blackwell, Steel, Lundkvist, Harley · UTA Kerfoot, Weegar, Marino, Tanev, Yamamoto

  54. P3 9:04Shot by Robertson, saved by Vanecek
  55. P3 9:27Bourque: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Lindell, Robertson, Heiskanen, Bourque, Johnston · UTA Cole, Weegar, Sergachev, Yamamoto, Durzi

  56. P3 9:58Shot by Keller, saved by DeSmith4v5
  57. P3 12:51Shot by Benn, saved by Vanecek
  58. P3 14:29Bunting: Cross checking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DAL Lindell, Steel, Harley, Bourque, Hryckowian · UTA Sergachev, Carcone, Durzi, Hayton, McBain, Guenther

  59. P3 15:30Shot by Hryckowian, saved by Vanecek4v5
  60. P3 15:42Shot by Lindell, saved by Vanecek4v5
  61. P3 15:57Shot by Harley, saved by Vanecek4v5
  62. P3 16:06Goal by Carcone (Peterka)4v5+2 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Lindell, Bäck, Harley, Hryckowian · UTA Schmidt, Marino, Carcone, Peterka, Cooley

  63. P3 17:12Shot by Schmaltz, saved by DeSmith
  64. P3 18:57Shot by Lundkvist, saved by Vanecek6v5
  65. P3 19:20Goal by Crouse (Schmaltz)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Duchene, Robertson, Lundkvist, Bourque, Johnston, Bichsel · UTA Schmidt, Weegar, Schmaltz, Crouse, Keller

  66. P3 19:39Shot by Myers, saved by Vanecek
  67. P3 19:56Goal by Erne (Hyry, Myers)0 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Myers, Erne, Bäck, Bichsel, Hyry · UTA Cole, Kerfoot, Tanev, Carcone, Durzi

  68. P3 0:00Period end
  69. P3 0:00Final