Wed, Mar 18, 2026·Ball Arena, Denver
Dallas Stars 2, Colorado Avalanche 1 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 60% of the time.
52%
8%
9%
31%
COL winsDAL wins
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28:12 | 0.12 | 39.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24:01 | 0.03 | 47.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:45 | 0.04 | 46.0% | +22.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 21:08 | 0.92 | 47.6% | +22.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:20 | 0.41 | 49.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:35 | 0.44 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:13 | 0.05 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:15 | 0.00 | 38.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:49 | 0.00 | 9.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:32 | 0.00 | 37.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:56 | 0.06 | 46.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:11 | 0.26 | 57.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:28 | 0.00 | 30.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:18 | 0.10 | 49.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:05 | 0.04 | 12.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:41 | 0.15 | 47.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 9:14 | 0.05 | 47.8% | +22.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:59 | 0.03 | 10.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 34 | 33 | 1 | .971 | 3.31 | +2.3 | 64:55 |
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 27:27 | 0.51 | 58.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 26:40 | 0.35 | 64.5% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25:33 | 0.46 | 71.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24:49 | 0.29 | 76.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24:39 | 0.43 | 63.1% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:53 | 0.01 | 76.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:46 | 0.18 | 63.7% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:56 | 0.35 | 49.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:12 | 0.15 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:12 | 0.03 | 34.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:35 | 0.04 | 22.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:52 | 0.13 | 51.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:45 | 0.00 | 51.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:37 | 0.24 | 41.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:08 | 0.12 | 55.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 3:50 | 0.02 | 7.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 3:43 | 0.00 | 59.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 3:23 | 0.00 | 62.2% | 0.0 |
| O | 18 | 17 | 1 | .944 | 2.70 | +1.7 | 65:00 |