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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 21, 2026·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Winnipeg Jets 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 5 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 59% of the time.

PIT winsWPG wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:53Shot by Novak, saved by Hellebuyck
  3. P1 1:06Goal by Chinakhov (Malkin, Wotherspoon)+11 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Karlsson, Novak, Wotherspoon, Chinakhov · WPG DeMelo, Scheifele, Morrissey, Connor, Iafallo

  4. P1 1:33Shot by Lambert, saved by Silovs
  5. P1 2:02Goal by Rakell (Rust, Girard)+11 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Rakell, Girard · WPG Toews, Nyquist, DeMelo, Morrissey, Koepke

  6. P1 2:41Shot by Chinakhov, saved by Hellebuyck
  7. P1 3:23Shot by Salomonsson, saved by Silovs
  8. P1 3:47Shot by Lambert, saved by Silovs
  9. P1 3:50Goal by Barron (Lambert)+13 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Karlsson, Rust, Rakell, Wotherspoon · WPG Morrissey, Pionk, Barron, Rosen, Lambert

  10. P1 3:50Chinakhov: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Karlsson, Rust, Rakell, Wotherspoon · WPG Morrissey, Pionk, Barron, Rosen, Lambert

  11. P1 4:58Shot by Wotherspoon, saved by Hellebuyck4v5
  12. P1 5:37Shot by Toews, saved by Silovs4v5
  13. P1 6:40Shot by Lowry, saved by Silovs
  14. P1 8:35Shot by Letang, saved by Hellebuyck
  15. P1 10:54Shot by Connor, saved by Silovs
  16. P1 11:42Shot by Fleury, saved by Silovs
  17. P1 12:51Shot by Clifton, saved by Hellebuyck
  18. P1 13:17Shot by Rust, saved by Hellebuyck
  19. P1 14:03Shot by Chinakhov, saved by Hellebuyck
  20. P1 14:21Shot by Soderblom, saved by Hellebuyck
  21. P1 14:39Shot by Rust, saved by Hellebuyck
  22. P1 19:08Shot by Rakell, saved by Hellebuyck
  23. P1 19:43Shot by Wotherspoon, saved by Hellebuyck
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:27Shot by Perfetti, saved by Silovs
  27. P2 3:21Shot by Perfetti, saved by Silovs
  28. P2 4:40Shot by Mantha, saved by Hellebuyck
  29. P2 5:44Salomonsson: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Novak, Girard, Chinakhov · WPG Lowry, Samberg, Perfetti, Lambert, Salomonsson

  30. P2 5:56Shot by Rust, saved by Hellebuyck5v4
  31. P2 6:10Goal by Koepke (Lowry, DeMelo)5v4+23 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Karlsson, Rust, Rakell · WPG DeMelo, Lowry, Samberg, Koepke

  32. P2 8:02Shot by DeMelo, saved by Silovs
  33. P2 8:17Shot by Toews, saved by Silovs
  34. P2 10:26Shot by Letang, saved by Hellebuyck
  35. P2 12:52Shot by Karlsson, saved by Hellebuyck
  36. P2 14:46Shot by Rosen, saved by Silovs
  37. P2 15:22Goal by Karlsson (Wotherspoon, Chinakhov)+28 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Karlsson, Novak, Wotherspoon, Chinakhov · WPG Lowry, Fleury, Vilardi, Pionk, Rosen

  38. P2 15:52Shot by Kindel, saved by Hellebuyck
  39. P2 16:03Shot by Morrissey, saved by Silovs
  40. P2 17:24Shot by Karlsson, saved by Hellebuyck
  41. P2 17:26Shot by Karlsson, saved by Hellebuyck
  42. P2 18:36Shot by Vilardi, saved by Silovs
  43. P2 0:00Period end
  44. P3 0:00Period start
  45. P3 1:42Shot by Connor, saved by Silovs
  46. P3 2:41Shot by Brazeau, saved by Hellebuyck
  47. P3 2:42Shot by Kindel, saved by Hellebuyck
  48. P3 3:05Shot by Perfetti, saved by Silovs
  49. P3 4:04Goal by Pionk (Toews, Nyquist)+33 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Rakell, Wotherspoon · WPG Toews, Nyquist, Samberg, Pionk, Koepke

  50. P3 5:29Shot by Connor, saved by Silovs
  51. P3 7:32Shot by Chinakhov, saved by Hellebuyck
  52. P3 8:11Shot by Connor, saved by Silovs
  53. P3 8:36Goal by Lambert, unassisted+25 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Clifton, Acciari, Girard, Dewar, Soderblom · WPG DeMelo, Fleury, Barron, Rosen, Lambert

  54. P3 10:37Shot by Crosby, saved by Hellebuyck
  55. P3 11:06Shot by Pionk, saved by Silovs
  56. P3 12:26Shot by Chinakhov, saved by Hellebuyck
  57. P3 12:45Goal by Karlsson (Rust, Crosby)+28 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Karlsson, Rust, Rakell, Girard · WPG DeMelo, Scheifele, Fleury, Connor, Barron

  58. P3 14:26Shot by Iafallo, saved by Silovs
  59. P3 0:00Period end
  60. OT 0:00Period start
  61. OT 0:05Shot by Kindel, saved by Hellebuyck3v3
  62. OT 0:15Shot by Connor, saved by Silovs3v3
  63. OT 0:27Shot by Malkin, saved by Hellebuyck3v3
  64. OT 0:43Shot by Kindel, saved by Hellebuyck3v3
  65. OT 1:38Shot by Rust, saved by Hellebuyck3v3
  66. OT 1:40Morrissey: Slashing (2 min)3v3

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Rust · WPG Scheifele, Morrissey, Connor

  67. OT 4:31Shot by Novak, saved by Hellebuyck4v4
  68. OT 5:00Period end4v4
  69. SO Period start
  70. SO Shot by Chinakhov, saved by Hellebuyckother
  71. SO Shot by Toews, saved by Silovsother
  72. SO Goal by Crosby, unassistedother
  73. SO Shot by Nyquist, saved by Silovsother
  74. SO Goal by Rakell, unassistedother
  75. SO Period endother
  76. SO Finalother