Sat, Mar 21, 2026·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Winnipeg Jets 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 5 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 59% of the time.
51%
9%
9%
32%
PIT winsWPG wins
Winnipeg Jets
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 29:38 | 0.10 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 25:23 | 0.09 | 58.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 24:28 | 0.06 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 23:49 | 0.53 | 45.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:45 | 0.07 | 44.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:30 | 0.02 | 56.2% | +32.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:18 | 0.08 | 51.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:16 | 0.22 | 76.3% | +22.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:46 | 0.15 | 71.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:15 | 0.28 | 70.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:25 | 0.25 | 34.1% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:51 | 0.07 | 64.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 13:45 | 0.12 | 39.6% | +37.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 11:23 | 0.07 | 22.4% | +22.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 10:53 | 0.12 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:08 | 0.36 | 41.6% | +22.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8:44 | 0.00 | 27.3% | +32.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:03 | 0.11 | 27.3% | +32.9 |
| O | 32 | 28 | 4 | .875 | 3.24 | −0.8 | 65:00 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26:13 | 0.01 | 35.6% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 25:31 | 0.37 | 63.9% | +55.5 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23:26 | 0.04 | 54.0% | +39.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 22:47 | 0.11 | 42.9% | +11.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 20:47 | 0.12 | 53.1% | +27.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:44 | 0.09 | 53.0% | +11.5 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 18:49 | 0.78 | 56.8% | +39.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 17:39 | 0.40 | 52.1% | +39.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:15 | 0.31 | 52.8% | +11.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 16:45 | 0.14 | 50.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:30 | 0.04 | 62.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:18 | 0.00 | 21.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:32 | 0.07 | 43.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13:58 | 0.64 | 55.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:31 | 0.05 | 29.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:22 | 0.02 | 62.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:28 | 0.06 | 53.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:45 | 0.00 | 60.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 25 | 21 | 4 | .840 | 2.68 | −1.3 | 65:00 |