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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 23, 2026·Madison Square Garden, New York

Ottawa Senators 2, New York Rangers 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 78% of the time.

NYR winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:48Shot by Kleven, saved by Shesterkin
  3. P1 1:31Shot by Thomson, saved by Shesterkin
  4. P1 4:17Shot by Zub, saved by Shesterkin
  5. P1 4:24Shot by Kleven, saved by Shesterkin
  6. P1 4:59Raddysh: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Gavrikov, Raddysh, Mackey, Chmelar · OTT Giroux, Chabot, Batherson, Tkachuk, Spence, Stützle

  7. P1 6:30Goal by Pinto (Giroux, Spence)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Zibanejad, Borgen, Schneider · OTT Giroux, Foegele, Zetterlund, Pinto, Spence

  8. P1 7:12Shot by Foegele, saved by Shesterkin
  9. P1 8:04Shot by Cozens, saved by Shesterkin
  10. P1 9:08Shot by Matinpalo, saved by Shesterkin
  11. P1 9:36Shot by Thomson, saved by Shesterkin
  12. P1 11:50Shot by Spence, saved by Shesterkin
  13. P1 13:30Shot by Chabot, saved by Shesterkin
  14. P1 13:46Shot by Parssinen, saved by Reimer
  15. P1 15:29Cousins: High sticking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Zibanejad, Miller, Fox, Mackey, Lafrenière · OTT Eller, Cousins, Chabot, Zetterlund, Matinpalo

  16. P1 15:35Shot by Trocheck, saved by Reimer5v4
  17. P1 16:08Shot by Trocheck, saved by Reimer5v4
  18. P1 18:03Parssinen: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Sheary, Gavrikov, Parssinen, Schneider, Cuylle · OTT Eller, Foegele, Chabot, Zetterlund, Zub

  19. P1 19:11Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  20. P1 19:36Shot by Batherson, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  21. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 1:31Shot by Kleven, saved by Shesterkin
  24. P2 2:11Shot by Mackey, saved by Reimer
  25. P2 3:59Shot by Pinto, saved by Shesterkin
  26. P2 4:19Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Reimer
  27. P2 6:03Shot by Matinpalo, saved by Shesterkin
  28. P2 6:46Goal by Foegele (Eller)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Miller, Fox, Kartye, Mackey, Chmelar · OTT Eller, Foegele, Zetterlund, Kleven, Matinpalo

  29. P2 7:02Miller: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: NYR Miller, Sheary, Gavrikov, Robertson, Kartye · OTT Cousins, Amadio, Pinto, Spence, Zub

  30. P2 8:07Shot by Cozens, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  31. P2 8:55Shot by Foegele, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  32. P2 9:12Shot by Kleven, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  33. P2 9:20Shot by Kleven, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  34. P2 13:41Zetterlund: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Raddysh, Robertson, Schneider, Cuylle · OTT Giroux, Batherson, Kleven, Stützle, Zub

  35. P2 16:11Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Shesterkin
  36. P2 16:48Shot by Cozens, saved by Shesterkin
  37. P2 17:21Mackey: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Miller, Sheary, Borgen, Kartye, Mackey · OTT Eller, Foegele, Zetterlund, Zub, Matinpalo

  38. P2 19:02Shot by Kleven, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  39. P2 19:16Trocheck: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Fox, Robertson, Cuylle · OTT Giroux, Foegele, Zetterlund, Pinto, Kleven

  40. P2 19:31Shot by Batherson, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  41. P2 19:32Shot by Stützle, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  42. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 1:04Shot by Pinto, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  45. P3 3:27Zub: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Miller, Sheary, Borgen, Kartye, Mackey · OTT Tkachuk, Cozens, Greig, Kleven, Zub

  46. P3 3:30Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Reimer5v4
  47. P3 4:37Shot by Pinto, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  48. P3 5:55Shot by Schneider, saved by Reimer
  49. P3 7:03Goal by Sheary (Kartye, Robertson)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Miller, Sheary, Gavrikov, Fox, Kartye · OTT Cousins, Amadio, Pinto, Spence, Matinpalo

  50. P3 11:08Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Reimer
  51. P3 11:17Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Shesterkin
  52. P3 11:18Shot by Cozens, saved by Shesterkin
  53. P3 12:00Shot by Eller, saved by Shesterkin
  54. P3 12:01Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Shesterkin
  55. P3 14:10Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Shesterkin
  56. P3 15:46Shot by Cuylle, saved by Reimer
  57. P3 15:54Matinpalo: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Borgen, Mackey, Cuylle, Chmelar · OTT Cousins, Amadio, Pinto, Spence, Matinpalo

  58. P3 15:54Trocheck: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Borgen, Mackey, Cuylle, Chmelar · OTT Cousins, Amadio, Pinto, Spence, Matinpalo

  59. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  60. P3 0:00Final6v5