Tue, Mar 24, 2026·UBS Arena, Elmont
Chicago Blackhawks 4, New York Islanders 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 82% of the time.
77%
13%
NYI winsCHI wins
Chicago Blackhawks
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 25:11 | 0.14 | 24.0% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:12 | 0.14 | 24.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 19:53 | 0.32 | 25.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:48 | 0.01 | 31.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:46 | 0.22 | 42.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:33 | 0.20 | 23.6% | +16.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 19:15 | 0.19 | 44.8% | +31.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:29 | 0.00 | 12.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 17:20 | 0.01 | 39.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 16:43 | 1.04 | 38.4% | +25.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:51 | 0.00 | 10.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 15:43 | 0.14 | 22.6% | +16.3 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 1 | 14:12 | 0.20 | 51.2% | +40.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:09 | 0.00 | 15.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:12 | 0.00 | 38.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:26 | 0.06 | 29.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:11 | 0.03 | 66.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:39 | 0.09 | 25.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 47 | 44 | 3 | .936 | 5.15 | +2.2 | 60:00 |
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 8 | 31:59 | 0.53 | 77.9% | +11.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 9 | 22:03 | 1.03 | 77.9% | +11.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 21:58 | 0.11 | 78.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 20:11 | 0.05 | 64.0% | +10.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19:32 | 0.47 | 62.7% | +10.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:29 | 0.55 | 52.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:05 | 0.11 | 48.6% | +4.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:57 | 0.11 | 65.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:39 | 0.27 | 74.4% | +11.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:27 | 0.34 | 69.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:00 | 0.08 | 57.5% | +10.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:04 | 0.50 | 75.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:56 | 0.37 | 80.3% | +4.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:06 | 0.06 | 73.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:05 | 0.05 | 77.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 7:28 | 0.14 | 76.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 7:06 | 0.37 | 71.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:09 | 0.00 | 67.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 12 | 11 | 1 | .917 | 0.91 | −0.1 | 37:46 | |
| – | 12 | 9 | 3 | .750 | 1.17 | −1.8 | 20:00 |