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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 24, 2026·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Colorado Avalanche 6, Pittsburgh Penguins 2

Away

Colorado Avalanche

6

Final

Home

Pittsburgh Penguins

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 71% of the time.

PIT winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:54Shot by Chinakhov, saved by Wedgewood
  3. P1 2:44Shot by Crosby, saved by Wedgewood
  4. P1 3:09Shot by Landeskog, saved by Silovs
  5. P1 3:55Shot by Novak, saved by Wedgewood
  6. P1 4:21Shot by Kadri, saved by Silovs
  7. P1 4:27Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Silovs
  8. P1 4:46Shot by Rakell, saved by Wedgewood
  9. P1 4:57Goal by MacKinnon, unassisted+15 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Karlsson, Rust, Rakell, Wotherspoon · COL Burns, Manson, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Necas

  10. P1 6:55Shot by Bardakov, saved by Silovs
  11. P1 7:21Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Silovs
  12. P1 7:34Shot by Rust, saved by Wedgewood
  13. P1 8:09Goal by Chinakhov (Girard, Letang)+15 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Letang, Mantha, Novak, Girard, Chinakhov · COL Burns, Nelson, Manson, Nichushkin, Colton

  14. P1 8:22Shot by Clifton, saved by Wedgewood
  15. P1 8:42Shot by Malinski, saved by Silovs
  16. P1 9:16Shot by Wotherspoon, saved by Wedgewood
  17. P1 10:41Shot by Soderblom, saved by Wedgewood
  18. P1 12:21Shot by Manson, saved by Silovs
  19. P1 12:40Shot by Kindel, saved by Wedgewood
  20. P1 13:52Shot by Kulak, saved by Silovs
  21. P1 15:16Shot by Malinski, saved by Silovs
  22. P1 15:24Goal by Malinski, unassisted+16 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Clifton, Mantha, Novak, Shea, Chinakhov · COL Kadri, Nelson, Nichushkin, Toews, Malinski

  23. P1 16:39Acciari: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Letang, Acciari, Girard, Dewar, Soderblom · COL Burns, Manson, Colton, Drury, Kiviranta

  24. P1 16:44Goal by Necas (Makar, Nelson)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Clifton, Shea, Dewar, Kindel · COL Kadri, Nelson, MacKinnon, Necas, Makar

  25. P1 17:19Goal by Kelly (O'Connor, Kadri)+10 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Rakell, Girard · COL Kadri, Toews, Kelly, O'Connor, Malinski

  26. P1 17:28Shot by Nelson, saved by Silovs
  27. P1 17:30Shot by Burns, saved by Silovs
  28. P1 18:06Shot by Chinakhov, saved by Wedgewood
  29. P1 19:48Shot by Drury, saved by Silovs
  30. P1 0:00Period end
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 0:12Shot by Crosby, saved by Wedgewood
  33. P2 5:27Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Silovs
  34. P2 7:02Shot by Kindel, saved by Wedgewood
  35. P2 7:35Shot by Shea, saved by Wedgewood
  36. P2 8:25Kadri: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: PIT Clifton, Mantha, Novak, Shea, Chinakhov · COL Kadri, Kulak, Makar, Kelly, O'Connor

  37. P2 8:34Shot by Rakell, saved by Wedgewood5v4
  38. P2 10:57Shot by Mantha, saved by Wedgewood5v4
  39. P2 11:37Shot by Kindel, saved by Wedgewood5v4
  40. P2 16:43Shot by Letang, saved by Wedgewood
  41. P2 17:27Shot by Toews, saved by Silovs
  42. P2 17:29Goal by Necas (Toews, Malinski)+3 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Rust, Rakell, Clifton, Shea · COL Nelson, MacKinnon, Toews, Necas, Malinski

  43. P2 18:10Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Silovs
  44. P2 19:02Shot by Makar, saved by Silovs
  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 0:36Shot by Landeskog, saved by Silovs
  48. P3 1:56Shot by Novak, saved by Wedgewood
  49. P3 1:57Burns: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Letang, Mantha, Novak, Girard, Chinakhov · COL Burns, Kadri, Manson, Kelly, O'Connor

  50. P3 2:54Manson: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Karlsson, Rust, Rakell, Mantha · COL Nelson, Manson, Nichushkin, Toews

  51. P3 3:25Shot by Rust, saved by Wedgewood5v3
  52. P3 3:39Shot by Crosby, saved by Wedgewood5v3
  53. P3 3:49Shot by Rakell, saved by Wedgewood5v3
  54. P3 3:58Shot by Rust, saved by Wedgewood5v4
  55. P3 4:01O'Connor: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Karlsson, Rust, Rakell, Mantha · COL Burns, Kulak, Toews, O'Connor

  56. P3 4:01Mantha: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Karlsson, Rust, Rakell, Mantha · COL Burns, Kulak, Toews, O'Connor

  57. P3 4:02Shot by Kelly, saved by Silovs5v4
  58. P3 4:23Shot by Crosby, saved by Wedgewood5v4
  59. P3 4:52Shot by Crosby, saved by Wedgewood5v4
  60. P3 5:03Shot by Crosby, saved by Wedgewood
  61. P3 5:28Letang: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Letang, Girard, Brazeau, Koivunen, Kindel · COL Landeskog, MacKinnon, Necas, Makar, Malinski

  62. P3 5:46Shot by Makar, saved by Silovs4v5
  63. P3 6:39Shot by Kadri, saved by Silovs4v5
  64. P3 6:49Rust: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: PIT Rust, Clifton, Acciari, Shea · COL Kadri, Nelson, MacKinnon, Necas, Makar

  65. P3 8:44Shot by Clifton, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  66. P3 9:47Shot by Manson, saved by Silovs
  67. P3 10:31Shot by Chinakhov, saved by Wedgewood
  68. P3 11:47Goal by Rakell (Crosby, Rust)+1 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Rakell, Girard · COL Landeskog, Kulak, MacKinnon, Necas, Makar

  69. P3 12:04Shot by Karlsson, saved by Wedgewood
  70. P3 12:20Shot by Brazeau, saved by Wedgewood
  71. P3 13:04Shot by Manson, saved by Silovs
  72. P3 15:03Shot by Landeskog, saved by Silovs
  73. P3 16:20Goal by Colton (Nichushkin, Drury)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Karlsson, Rust, Rakell, Mantha, Chinakhov · COL Burns, Manson, Nichushkin, Colton, Drury

  74. P3 17:32Shot by Kindel, saved by Wedgewood
  75. P3 19:18Shot by Burns, saved by Silovs
  76. P3 0:00Period end
  77. P3 0:00Final