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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 26, 2026·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa

Seattle Kraken 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 3 (OT)

Away

Seattle Kraken

4

Final

Overtime

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 65% of the time.

TBL winsSEA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:09Shot by Kucherov, saved by Grubauer
  3. P1 2:51Shot by Raddysh, saved by Grubauer
  4. P1 7:52Shot by McMann, saved by Vasilevskiy
  5. P1 8:03Shot by Lindgren, saved by Vasilevskiy
  6. P1 8:39Shot by Catton, saved by Vasilevskiy
  7. P1 12:43Shot by Goncalves, saved by Grubauer
  8. P1 13:08Lilleberg: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Guentzel, Point, D'Astous, Goncalves, Lilleberg · SEA Larsson, Dunn, Tolvanen, Wright, Fisker Molgaard

  9. P1 13:36Shot by Beniers, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  10. P1 14:23Shot by Dunn, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  11. P1 15:03Shot by Montour, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  12. P1 15:18Goal by Montour (Gaudreau, Fisker Molgaard)+17 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Guentzel, Paul, Cernak, Goncalves · SEA Gaudreau, Montour, Evans, Meyers, Fisker Molgaard

  13. P1 17:01Goal by Cirelli (Hagel, D'Astous)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Cirelli, Hagel, D'Astous, Lilleberg · SEA Eberle, Lindgren, Fleury, Beniers, Catton

  14. P1 18:12Goal by Kakko (Stephenson, McMann)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Gourde, Hagel, D'Astous, Holmberg, Lilleberg · SEA Stephenson, Dunn, Lindgren, Kakko, McMann

  15. P1 19:34Shot by Raddysh, saved by Grubauer
  16. P1 19:57Shot by Goncalves, saved by Grubauer
  17. P1 0:00Period end
  18. P2 0:00Period start
  19. P2 2:16Catton: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TBL Guentzel, Point, Goncalves, Moser, Lilleberg · SEA Eberle, Lindgren, Evans, Fisker Molgaard, Catton

  20. P2 2:16Moser: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TBL Guentzel, Point, Goncalves, Moser, Lilleberg · SEA Eberle, Lindgren, Evans, Fisker Molgaard, Catton

  21. P2 2:33Shot by Raddysh, saved by Grubauer
  22. P2 2:53Shot by Fisker Molgaard, saved by Vasilevskiy
  23. P2 3:35Goal by McMann (Kakko, Larsson)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Perry, McDonagh, Bjorkstrand, Paul, Cernak · SEA Larsson, Stephenson, Dunn, Kakko, McMann

  24. P2 5:56Goal by Guentzel (Raddysh, D'Astous)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Guentzel, Point, Raddysh, D'Astous, Goncalves · SEA Larsson, Dunn, Kakko, McMann, Beniers

  25. P2 6:18Shot by Hagel, saved by Grubauer
  26. P2 6:28Shot by Raddysh, saved by Grubauer
  27. P2 6:34Shot by Cirelli, saved by Grubauer
  28. P2 6:57Shot by Lilleberg, saved by Grubauer
  29. P2 6:59Holmberg: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Gourde, Girgensons, Holmberg, Lilleberg · SEA Stephenson, Montour, Lindgren, Kakko, McMann

  30. P2 6:59Holmberg: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Gourde, Girgensons, Holmberg, Lilleberg · SEA Stephenson, Montour, Lindgren, Kakko, McMann

  31. P2 6:59Montour: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Gourde, Girgensons, Holmberg, Lilleberg · SEA Stephenson, Montour, Lindgren, Kakko, McMann

  32. P2 6:59Montour: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Gourde, Girgensons, Holmberg, Lilleberg · SEA Stephenson, Montour, Lindgren, Kakko, McMann

  33. P2 7:02Shot by D'Astous, saved by Grubauer
  34. P2 7:46Shot by Point, saved by Grubauer
  35. P2 8:20Evans: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, McDonagh, Bjorkstrand, Paul, Lilleberg · SEA Oleksiak, Gaudreau, Beniers, Evans, Meyers

  36. P2 9:18Shot by Point, saved by Grubauer5v4
  37. P2 10:18Goal by Perry (Guentzel, Kucherov)5v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Perry, Kucherov, Guentzel, Raddysh, Hagel · SEA Oleksiak, Gaudreau, Fleury, Tolvanen

  38. P2 13:13Shot by Girgensons, saved by Grubauer
  39. P2 14:02Shot by Meyers, saved by Vasilevskiy
  40. P2 14:29Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Vasilevskiy
  41. P2 14:32Perry: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Bjorkstrand, Paul, D'Astous, Lilleberg · SEA Larsson, Gaudreau, Dunn, Beniers, Meyers

  42. P2 14:32Dunn: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Bjorkstrand, Paul, D'Astous, Lilleberg · SEA Larsson, Gaudreau, Dunn, Beniers, Meyers

  43. P2 15:44Shot by Beniers, saved by Vasilevskiy4v4
  44. P2 16:26Shot by Hagel, saved by Grubauer4v4
  45. P2 17:02Shot by Evans, saved by Vasilevskiy
  46. P2 17:28Shot by Lilleberg, saved by Grubauer
  47. P2 17:57Shot by Holmberg, saved by Grubauer
  48. P2 18:04Shot by McMann, saved by Vasilevskiy
  49. P2 19:05Shot by Guentzel, saved by Grubauer
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 2:39Shot by Gourde, saved by Grubauer
  53. P3 3:49Shot by Raddysh, saved by Grubauer
  54. P3 3:50Shot by Hagel, saved by Grubauer
  55. P3 7:31Shot by Holmberg, saved by Grubauer
  56. P3 8:37Shot by Montour, saved by Vasilevskiy
  57. P3 10:47Shot by Gourde, saved by Grubauer
  58. P3 10:49Shot by Holmberg, saved by Grubauer
  59. P3 11:19Shot by Hagel, saved by Grubauer
  60. P3 12:10Shot by Cernak, saved by Grubauer
  61. P3 12:23Shot by Dunn, saved by Vasilevskiy
  62. P3 13:24Shot by Holmberg, saved by Grubauer
  63. P3 14:58Shot by Guentzel, saved by Grubauer
  64. P3 18:11Shot by Lilleberg, saved by Grubauer
  65. P3 18:38Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Vasilevskiy
  66. P3 19:31Shot by Montour, saved by Vasilevskiy
  67. P3 0:00Period end
  68. OT 0:00Period start
  69. OT 0:34Shot by Hagel, saved by Grubauer3v3
  70. OT 2:47Goal by Montour (Wright, Catton)3v3+49 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Hagel, D'Astous · SEA Montour, Wright, Catton

  71. OT 2:47Period end4v3
  72. OT 2:47Final4v4