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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 28, 2026·UBS Arena, Elmont

Florida Panthers 2, New York Islanders 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 81% of the time.

NYI winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:35Shot by Pelech, saved by Tarasov
  3. P1 3:44Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Sorokin
  4. P1 4:18Shot by Forsling, saved by Sorokin
  5. P1 5:32Shot by Kulikov, saved by Sorokin
  6. P1 6:40Shot by Schaefer, saved by Tarasov
  7. P1 7:05Shot by Schaefer, saved by Tarasov
  8. P1 8:06Goal by Tkachuk (Jones)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Lee, Pelech, Horvat, Boqvist, Heineman · FLA Kulikov, Verhaeghe, Jones, Tkachuk, Luostarinen

  9. P1 11:53Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Sorokin
  10. P1 13:03Shot by Barzal, saved by Tarasov
  11. P1 14:03Goal by Tkachuk, unassisted+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Palat, Pageau, Mayfield, Pulock, Holmstrom · FLA Kulikov, Verhaeghe, Jones, Tkachuk, Luostarinen

  12. P1 14:44Shot by Horvat, saved by Tarasov
  13. P1 14:46Shot by Lee, saved by Tarasov
  14. P1 16:04Shot by Boqvist, saved by Sorokin
  15. P1 16:38Shot by Cizikas, saved by Tarasov
  16. P1 17:04Foote: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Mayfield, Boqvist, MacLean, Gatcomb · FLA Hinostroza, Nosek, Foote, Benning, Sebrango

  17. P1 17:59Shot by Luostarinen, saved by Sorokin5v4
  18. P1 18:32Shot by Heineman, saved by Tarasov5v4
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 1:21Shot by Schenn, saved by Tarasov
  22. P2 1:22Shot by Schenn, saved by Tarasov
  23. P2 1:34Shot by Pelech, saved by Tarasov
  24. P2 1:52Shot by Pelech, saved by Tarasov
  25. P2 1:58Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Tarasov
  26. P2 2:16Shot by Pelech, saved by Tarasov
  27. P2 2:21Sebrango: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Palat, Pageau, Pelech, Soucy, Holmstrom · FLA Kunin, Studnicka, Reinhardt, Benning, Sebrango

  28. P2 2:42Shot by Horvat, saved by Tarasov5v4
  29. P2 4:29Shot by Gregor, saved by Sorokin
  30. P2 5:28Goal by Gatcomb (Pelech, Mayfield)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Palat, Soucy, Gatcomb, Schaefer · FLA Hinostroza, Verhaeghe, Luostarinen, Benning, Sebrango

  31. P2 5:30Shot by Pulock, saved by Tarasov
  32. P2 5:41Shot by Pulock, saved by Tarasov
  33. P2 7:07Shot by Boqvist, saved by Tarasov
  34. P2 7:09Shot by Schenn, saved by Tarasov
  35. P2 8:12Shot by Barzal, saved by Tarasov
  36. P2 9:24Shot by Foote, saved by Sorokin
  37. P2 9:29Shot by Ekblad, saved by Sorokin
  38. P2 9:51Shot by Cizikas, saved by Tarasov
  39. P2 10:37Shot by Palat, saved by Tarasov
  40. P2 12:09Goal by Schenn (Ritchie, Schaefer)+19 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Schenn, Pelech, Barzal, Ritchie, Schaefer · FLA Kulikov, Jones, Gregor, Boqvist, Samoskevich

  41. P2 12:39Shot by Schaefer, saved by Tarasov
  42. P2 13:14Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Sorokin
  43. P2 13:40Forsling: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Schenn, Pelech, Soucy, Barzal, Ritchie · FLA Ekblad, Forsling, Tkachuk, Gregor, Boqvist

  44. P2 14:52Goal by Holmstrom (Schaefer, Schenn)5v4+26 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Schenn, Horvat, Holmstrom, Ritchie, Schaefer · FLA Nosek, Ekblad, Kunin, Sebrango

  45. P2 16:29Shot by Schenn, saved by Tarasov
  46. P2 17:00Goal by Heineman (Lee, Schenn)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Lee, Pelech, Horvat, Heineman, Schaefer · FLA Nosek, Tkachuk, Foote, Benning, Sebrango

  47. P2 17:54Shot by Soucy, saved by Tarasov
  48. P2 17:56Shot by Cizikas, saved by Tarasov
  49. P2 17:57Goal by Cizikas (Soucy, Gatcomb)+6 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Pelech, Soucy, MacLean, Gatcomb · FLA Kunin, Gregor, Benning, Sebrango, Samoskevich

  50. P2 18:23Shot by Foote, saved by Sorokin
  51. P2 18:50Shot by Schaefer, saved by Tarasov
  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 2:22Shot by Pulock, saved by Tarasov
  55. P3 3:05Shot by Forsling, saved by Sorokin
  56. P3 3:34Shot by Horvat, saved by Tarasov
  57. P3 6:16Shot by Pulock, saved by Tarasov
  58. P3 6:46Shot by Horvat, saved by Tarasov
  59. P3 7:07Shot by Lee, saved by Tarasov
  60. P3 7:15Shot by Schaefer, saved by Tarasov
  61. P3 8:49Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Tarasov
  62. P3 10:55Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Sorokin
  63. P3 11:04Shot by Heineman, saved by Tarasov
  64. P3 13:29Shot by Forsling, saved by Sorokin
  65. P3 14:15Shot by Samoskevich, saved by Sorokin
  66. P3 14:54Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Sorokin5v6
  67. P3 15:04Soucy: Interference (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NYI Lee, Soucy, Horvat, Heineman, Schaefer · FLA Verhaeghe, Jones, Ekblad, Tkachuk, Luostarinen, Samoskevich

  68. P3 16:29Shot by Ekblad, saved by Sorokin4v6
  69. P3 18:23Shot by Gregor, saved by Sorokin5v6
  70. P3 19:36Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Sorokin5v6
  71. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  72. P3 0:00Final5v6