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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 28, 2026·UBS Arena, Elmont

Florida Panthers 2, New York Islanders 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 81% of the time.

NYI winsFLA wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NYI forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against FLA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Verhaeghe–Tkachuk–LuostarinenGregor–Boqvist–SamoskevichKunin–Studnicka–ReinhardtHinostroza–Nosek–ReinhardtBoqvist–Foote–SamoskevichHinostroza–Nosek–GregorHinostroza–Nosek–FooteKunin–Studnicka–FooteEkblad–ForslingKulikov–JonesBenning–SebrangoJones–SebrangoKulikov–BenningJones–ForslingKulikov–EkbladForsling–Benning
Lee–Horvat–Heineman8:210.71–0.401:090.04–0.000:510.04–0.045:130.22–0.133:250.55–0.310:310.11–0.000:440.04–0.000:380.09–0.00
Schenn–Barzal–Ritchie1:520.19–0.001:190.42–0.030:310.16–0.002:580.16–0.002:220.11–0.044:320.35–0.043:300.62–0.030:430.16–0.000:470.11–0.001:040.00–0.00
Palat–Pageau–Holmstrom1:440.01–0.293:410.00–0.001:260.26–0.000:330.00–0.091:250.12–0.001:130.12–0.002:430.02–0.253:110.26–0.001:110.00–0.131:000.00–0.00
Cizikas–MacLean–Gatcomb0:430.04–0.011:420.13–0.110:450.00–0.001:420.18–0.142:020.00–0.032:110.27–0.191:420.00–0.032:360.64–0.010:550.00–0.060:530.00–0.00
Pulock–Schaefer7:440.52–0.511:170.00–0.032:450.09–0.101:290.00–0.020:390.00–0.035:320.46–0.244:520.26–0.290:430.00–0.002:050.04–0.171:030.00–0.000:360.00–0.000:330.00–0.00
Pelech–Soucy3:210.05–0.022:400.26–0.001:280.26–0.000:320.00–0.002:270.16–0.041:020.00–0.140:350.00–0.004:400.12–0.164:500.33–0.042:040.69–0.000:490.00–0.000:440.00–0.00
Mayfield–Boqvist1:100.04–0.003:120.34–0.110:580.06–0.000:410.00–0.040:340.00–0.003:040.33–0.293:380.42–0.000:510.00–0.06
Pelech–Schaefer1:230.33–0.000:340.00–0.00
Soucy–Schaefer0:300.29–0.00
Mayfield–Soucy0:440.00–0.00
Pelech–Pulock1:090.00–0.000:370.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndHorvat FLee FHeineman FPalat FPageau FHolmstrom FRitchie FSchenn FBarzal FGatcomb FMacLean FCizikas FPulock DSchaefer DSoucy DPelech DBoqvist DMayfield DSorokin GTkachuk FVerhaeghe FLuostarinen FGregor FSamoskevich FBoqvist FHinostroza FNosek FReinhardt FFoote FStudnicka FKunin FEkblad DForsling DKulikov DJones DSebrango DBenning DTarasov G
NYIFLAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Matthew SchaeferNYI3027:510:561:5562
Seth JonesFLA2525:211:013:3313
Aaron EkbladFLA2624:070:562:5535
Matthew TkachukFLA2523:430:572:2932
Eetu LuostarinenFLA2523:060:552:3352
Adam PelechNYI2722:040:491:5812
Gustav ForslingFLA2621:250:491:3035
Ryan PulockNYI2821:150:461:2722
Carter VerhaegheFLA2321:110:552:3232
Bo HorvatNYI2320:180:531:2842
Dmitry KulikovFLA2320:180:531:5822
Carson SoucyNYI2920:150:421:2301
Brayden SchennNYI2119:220:552:0332
Anders LeeNYI2018:170:551:2711
Emil HeinemanNYI2017:560:541:1711
Mathew BarzalNYI2017:520:541:5031
Calum RitchieNYI2017:430:531:4131
Mackie SamoskevichFLA2116:510:483:2522
Simon HolmstromNYI2015:330:471:1234
Jesper BoqvistFLA2314:500:391:2524
Mike BenningFLA1814:300:481:2724
Donovan SebrangoFLA2214:290:401:1216
Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI1814:250:481:1323
Tomas NosekFLA1913:470:441:3825
Noah GregorFLA2112:490:371:2523
Vinnie HinostrozaFLA1612:290:471:4323
Adam BoqvistNYI1812:070:401:0622
Scott MayfieldNYI1511:540:481:2223
Luke KuninFLA1411:270:491:2203
Cole ReinhardtFLA1411:120:481:5405
Nolan FooteFLA1610:560:411:2311
Casey CizikasNYI1410:500:461:1940
Ondrej PalatNYI1410:470:461:0221
Kyle MacLeanNYI139:470:451:1340
Marc GatcombNYI149:440:421:0940
Jack StudnickaFLA117:320:411:0704