Sat, Apr 4, 2026·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Colorado Avalanche 2, Dallas Stars 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 72% of the time.
20%
9%
63%
DAL winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 23:53 | 0.16 | 59.9% | +26.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 22:52 | 0.26 | 65.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 21:38 | 0.27 | 75.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 21:19 | 0.46 | 56.5% | +31.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 21:07 | 0.01 | 41.7% | +5.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 20:47 | 1.31 | 56.5% | +5.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:41 | 0.00 | 39.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:30 | 0.35 | 60.8% | +26.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:16 | 0.07 | 55.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:43 | 0.00 | 53.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:17 | 0.05 | 60.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:52 | 0.15 | 67.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:32 | 0.01 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:57 | 0.00 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:41 | 0.12 | 79.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:15 | 0.00 | 25.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:51 | 0.21 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:49 | 0.05 | 29.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 17 | 17 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.30 | +2.3 | 60:00 |
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 24:52 | 0.27 | 56.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:51 | 0.08 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:24 | 0.06 | 50.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 22:08 | 0.65 | 49.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:45 | 0.11 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:51 | 0.06 | 44.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:10 | 0.01 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:23 | 0.46 | 31.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:43 | 0.00 | 34.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:35 | 0.05 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:56 | 0.00 | 42.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:24 | 0.00 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:43 | 0.06 | 62.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:01 | 0.00 | 15.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:53 | 0.00 | 38.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9:54 | 0.45 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:19 | 0.06 | 37.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:51 | 0.00 | 50.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 21 | 20 | 1 | .952 | 1.92 | +0.9 | 58:17 |