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Ice Lab

Sat, Apr 4, 2026·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Florida Panthers 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 9

Away

Florida Panthers

4

Final

Home

Pittsburgh Penguins

9

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 80% of the time.

PIT winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:07Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Silovs
  3. P1 0:17Shot by Acciari, saved by Bobrovsky
  4. P1 0:20Goal by Acciari (Soderblom, Karlsson)+11 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Karlsson, Wotherspoon, Acciari, Dewar, Soderblom · FLA Verhaeghe, Jones, Bennett, Tkachuk, Sebrango

  5. P1 2:50Shot by Forsling, saved by Silovs
  6. P1 3:33Shot by Letang, saved by Bobrovsky
  7. P1 4:12Benning: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Rust, Girard · FLA Forsling, Greer, Luostarinen, Benning, Samoskevich

  8. P1 5:06Goal by Karlsson (Crosby, Chinakhov)5v4+11 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Karlsson, Rakell, Chinakhov · FLA Jones, Nosek, Greer, Sebrango

  9. P1 6:28Shot by Novak, saved by Bobrovsky
  10. P1 7:07Shot by Reinhardt, saved by Silovs
  11. P1 7:10Goal by Greer (Reinhardt, Forsling)+12 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Rakell, Clifton, Novak, Shea · FLA Jones, Greer, Luostarinen, Reinhardt, Sebrango

  12. P1 8:58Shot by Reinhardt, saved by Silovs
  13. P1 11:36Shot by Brazeau, saved by Bobrovsky
  14. P1 11:41Shot by Karlsson, saved by Bobrovsky
  15. P1 14:31Goal by Jones (Schwindt)+17 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Rakell, Clifton, Novak, Shea, Brazeau · FLA Jones, Kunin, Reinhardt, Schwindt, Sebrango

  16. P1 15:48Shot by Luostarinen, saved by Silovs
  17. P1 17:44Shot by Dewar, saved by Bobrovsky
  18. P1 19:54Shot by Girard, saved by Bobrovsky
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:48Shot by Rust, saved by Bobrovsky
  22. P2 1:02Shot by Rakell, saved by Bobrovsky
  23. P2 1:43Shot by Novak, saved by Bobrovsky
  24. P2 1:51Goal by Mantha, unassisted+21 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Clifton, Mantha, Shea, Brazeau, Kindel · FLA Nosek, Forsling, Gregor, Boqvist, Benning

  25. P2 3:45Shot by Malkin, saved by Bobrovsky
  26. P2 4:05Shot by Rakell, saved by Bobrovsky
  27. P2 4:26Sebrango: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Letang, Acciari, Girard, Dewar, Soderblom · FLA Verhaeghe, Jones, Bennett, Tkachuk, Sebrango

  28. P2 5:20Shot by Rakell, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  29. P2 5:51Goal by Malkin (Karlsson, Crosby)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Karlsson, Rust, Rakell · FLA Jones, Forsling, Greer, Luostarinen

  30. P2 8:27Goal by Malkin (Novak, Rakell)+7 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Karlsson, Rakell, Novak, Wotherspoon · FLA Jones, Greer, Luostarinen, Sebrango, Samoskevich

  31. P2 9:53Goal by Soderblom (Dewar)+3 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Letang, Acciari, Girard, Dewar, Soderblom · FLA Verhaeghe, Bennett, Tkachuk, Bjornfot, Hovorka

  32. P2 11:28Shot by Forsling, saved by Silovs
  33. P2 11:30Shot by Samoskevich, saved by Silovs
  34. P2 11:36Shot by Benning, saved by Silovs
  35. P2 11:59Shot by Malkin, saved by Tarasov
  36. P2 12:33Shot by Sebrango, saved by Silovs
  37. P2 12:52Shot by Soderblom, saved by Tarasov
  38. P2 15:05Kunin: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: PIT Clifton, Mantha, Wotherspoon, Brazeau, Kindel · FLA Jones, Kunin, Luostarinen, Reinhardt, Sebrango

  39. P2 15:05Clifton: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: PIT Clifton, Mantha, Wotherspoon, Brazeau, Kindel · FLA Jones, Kunin, Luostarinen, Reinhardt, Sebrango

  40. P2 15:10Shot by Greer, saved by Silovs
  41. P2 15:33Shot by Chinakhov, saved by Tarasov
  42. P2 15:54Luostarinen: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Wotherspoon, Chinakhov · FLA Forsling, Greer, Luostarinen, Benning, Samoskevich

  43. P2 16:50Shot by Bennett, saved by Silovs5v4
  44. P2 17:27Shot by Rakell, saved by Tarasov5v4
  45. P2 17:48Goal by Rakell (Malkin, Karlsson)5v4+1 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Karlsson, Rust, Rakell · FLA Bennett, Forsling, Tkachuk, Hovorka

  46. P2 18:07Goal by Shea (Girard, Mantha)0 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Mantha, Novak, Shea, Girard, Brazeau · FLA Nosek, Gregor, Boqvist, Bjornfot, Benning

  47. P2 18:48Shot by Girard, saved by Tarasov
  48. P2 19:29Shot by Wotherspoon, saved by Tarasov
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 1:22Shot by Malkin, saved by Tarasov
  52. P3 3:30Goal by Malkin, unassisted0 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Rakell, Novak, Girard · FLA Greer, Luostarinen, Bjornfot, Benning, Samoskevich

  53. P3 3:38Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Silovs
  54. P3 4:34Shot by Sebrango, saved by Silovs
  55. P3 5:15Shot by Gregor, saved by Silovs
  56. P3 8:02Goal by Gregor (Bennett, Tkachuk)0 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Clifton, Novak, Acciari, Shea, Soderblom · FLA Bennett, Tkachuk, Gregor, Bjornfot, Benning

  57. P3 10:20Shot by Samoskevich, saved by Silovs
  58. P3 10:46Goal by Samoskevich (Greer)0 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Rakell, Novak, Girard · FLA Forsling, Greer, Luostarinen, Samoskevich, Hovorka

  59. P3 11:15Shot by Benning, saved by Silovs
  60. P3 11:29Shot by Soderblom, saved by Tarasov
  61. P3 12:48Shot by Forsling, saved by Silovs
  62. P3 12:51Shot by Kunin, saved by Silovs
  63. P3 15:08Shot by Acciari, saved by Tarasov
  64. P3 18:08Shot by Sebrango, saved by Silovs
  65. P3 0:00Period end
  66. P3 0:00Final