Sat, Apr 4, 2026·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Florida Panthers 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 9
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 80% of the time.
74%
13%
PIT winsFLA wins
Florida Panthers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:43 | 0.01 | 30.1% | +17.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:42 | 0.15 | 32.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21:17 | 0.07 | 56.6% | +11.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:09 | 0.04 | 39.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:55 | 0.00 | 31.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:20 | 0.00 | 14.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17:04 | 0.25 | 40.2% | +11.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:21 | 0.08 | 41.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:19 | 0.00 | 20.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 15:41 | 0.00 | 33.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 14:53 | 0.01 | 37.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 14:52 | 0.08 | 21.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:39 | 0.00 | 22.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 14:05 | 0.27 | 36.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 13:28 | 0.32 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 13:19 | 0.12 | 42.6% | +11.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:38 | 0.05 | 35.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:22 | 0.01 | 27.0% | +17.5 |
| – | 12 | 9 | 3 | .750 | 1.41 | −1.6 | 30:07 | |
| L | 19 | 13 | 6 | .684 | 1.90 | −4.1 | 29:53 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:37 | 0.07 | 66.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 2 | 20:30 | 0.09 | 66.1% | +35.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 19:24 | 0.07 | 62.5% | +0.3 | |
| 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 18:52 | 0.78 | 73.2% | +21.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 18:44 | 0.01 | 65.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 18:41 | 0.11 | 69.9% | +0.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:58 | 0.10 | 59.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17:32 | 0.00 | 40.8% | +23.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 5 | 17:19 | 0.67 | 72.0% | +8.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:10 | 0.10 | 42.7% | +10.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:09 | 0.41 | 74.6% | +7.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:16 | 0.11 | 42.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 15:12 | 0.01 | 45.8% | +21.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 14:22 | 0.08 | 82.4% | +3.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:09 | 0.22 | 68.9% | +11.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 13:18 | 0.39 | 68.9% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:10 | 0.00 | 37.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:37 | 0.09 | 42.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 23 | 19 | 4 | .826 | 1.46 | −2.5 | 60:00 |