Skip to content
Ice Lab

Sat, Apr 11, 2026·UBS Arena, Elmont

Ottawa Senators 3, New York Islanders 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 54% of the time.

NYI winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:01Tkachuk: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NYI Lee, Pelech, Horvat, DeAngelo, Holmstrom · OTT Tkachuk, Cozens, Greig, Sanderson, Zub

  3. P1 0:01Lee: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NYI Lee, Pelech, Horvat, DeAngelo, Holmstrom · OTT Tkachuk, Cozens, Greig, Sanderson, Zub

  4. P1 0:13Shot by Sanderson, saved by Sorokin
  5. P1 1:05Shot by Ritchie, saved by Ullmark
  6. P1 2:04Shot by Schaefer, saved by Ullmark
  7. P1 2:05MacLean: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, DeAngelo, MacLean, Gatcomb, Schaefer · OTT Eller, Zetterlund, Batherson, Thomson, Matinpalo

  8. P1 2:08Shot by Cizikas, saved by Ullmark4v5
  9. P1 3:26Shot by Giroux, saved by Sorokin4v5
  10. P1 4:41Shot by Cizikas, saved by Ullmark
  11. P1 4:43Shot by Cizikas, saved by Ullmark
  12. P1 9:05Shot by Schaefer, saved by Ullmark
  13. P1 11:22Shot by Chabot, saved by Sorokin
  14. P1 11:37Batherson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Schenn, Pelech, Pulock, Barzal, Ritchie · OTT Batherson, Greig, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub

  15. P1 12:25Shot by Stützle, saved by Sorokin5v4
  16. P1 12:41Shot by Schaefer, saved by Ullmark5v4
  17. P1 13:06Goal by Greig (Amadio)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Lee, Pageau, DeAngelo, Holmstrom, Heineman · OTT Amadio, Greig, Sanderson, Zub

  18. P1 17:02Batherson: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYI Schenn, Pageau, DeAngelo, Barzal, Heineman, Schaefer · OTT Tkachuk, Cozens, Greig, Sanderson, Zub

  19. P1 19:16Shot by Cizikas, saved by Ullmark
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 1:17Shot by Horvat, saved by Ullmark
  23. P2 3:13Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Ullmark
  24. P2 7:00Shot by Horvat, saved by Ullmark
  25. P2 7:53Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Sorokin
  26. P2 8:45Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Sorokin
  27. P2 8:47DeAngelo: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Palat, Pageau, Pelech, DeAngelo, Heineman · OTT Tkachuk, Cozens, Greig, Sanderson, Zub

  28. P2 9:33Shot by Batherson, saved by Sorokin4v5
  29. P2 11:39Shot by Chabot, saved by Sorokin
  30. P2 13:55Shot by Cizikas, saved by Ullmark
  31. P2 13:56Shot by Cizikas, saved by Ullmark
  32. P2 14:37Spence: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Lee, Pelech, Pulock, Holmstrom · OTT Giroux, Batherson, Spence, Stützle, Zub

  33. P2 15:19Shot by Barzal, saved by Ullmark5v4
  34. P2 17:43Shot by Schaefer, saved by Ullmark
  35. P2 19:40Spence: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Schenn, Palat, Pageau, Pelech, Soucy · OTT Chabot, Tkachuk, Spence, Greig, Stützle

  36. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  37. P3 0:00Period start
  38. P3 1:28Shot by Ritchie, saved by Ullmark5v4
  39. P3 1:47Shot by Pageau, saved by Ullmark
  40. P3 3:16Heineman: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Palat, Pageau, Mayfield, Soucy, Heineman · OTT Eller, Foegele, Zetterlund, Thomson, Matinpalo

  41. P3 4:53Shot by Foegele, saved by Sorokin4v5
  42. P3 5:13Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Sorokin4v5
  43. P3 7:10Shot by Spence, saved by Sorokin
  44. P3 7:17Cozens: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Lee, Pelech, Horvat, DeAngelo, Holmstrom · OTT Foegele, Chabot, Cozens, Spence, Greig

  45. P3 9:29Shot by Cozens, saved by Sorokin
  46. P3 10:01Shot by Gatcomb, saved by Ullmark
  47. P3 10:21Shot by Pageau, saved by Ullmark
  48. P3 11:04Soucy: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Palat, Pageau, Soucy, DeAngelo, Ritchie · OTT Amadio, Pinto, Greig, Sanderson, Zub

  49. P3 11:38Pulock: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYI Pageau, Pelech, Pulock, Holmstrom · OTT Foegele, Batherson, Cozens, Sanderson, Stützle

  50. P3 12:01Shot by Pelech, saved by Ullmark3v5
  51. P3 12:34Shot by Cozens, saved by Sorokin3v5
  52. P3 12:36Goal by Sanderson (Cozens, Stützle)3v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Pageau, Pelech, Schaefer · OTT Giroux, Batherson, Cozens, Sanderson, Stützle

  53. P3 14:48Shot by Schenn, saved by Ullmark6v5
  54. P3 16:03Shot by Lee, saved by Ullmark6v5
  55. P3 17:29Goal by Amadio (Pinto, Greig)6v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Palat, DeAngelo, Barzal, Holmstrom, Heineman, Ritchie · OTT Amadio, Batherson, Pinto, Sanderson, Zub

  56. P3 19:46Shot by Mayfield, saved by Ullmark
  57. P3 0:00Period end
  58. P3 0:00Final