Sat, Apr 11, 2026·UBS Arena, Elmont
Ottawa Senators 3, New York Islanders 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 54% of the time.
44%
10%
11%
35%
NYI winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 27:38 | 0.33 | 26.4% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 24:45 | 0.01 | 33.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24:11 | 0.03 | 22.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 22:36 | 0.10 | 32.5% | +17.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:00 | 0.06 | 33.9% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:51 | 0.00 | 13.8% | +1.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 18:52 | 0.83 | 12.9% | +17.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:13 | 0.04 | 21.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:44 | 0.15 | 20.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:23 | 0.22 | 48.7% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:58 | 0.04 | 32.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:55 | 0.10 | 18.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:42 | 0.00 | 16.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:25 | 0.21 | 33.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:10 | 0.15 | 35.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:32 | 0.26 | 36.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:57 | 0.00 | 30.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:08 | 0.00 | 0.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 23 | 23 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.75 | +2.8 | 60:00 |
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24:56 | 0.14 | 68.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:56 | 0.19 | 62.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:49 | 0.10 | 75.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:40 | 0.01 | 75.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:20 | 0.04 | 67.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:00 | 0.25 | 53.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:41 | 0.17 | 57.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:59 | 0.04 | 84.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:48 | 0.73 | 88.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:33 | 0.00 | 73.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:20 | 0.09 | 79.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:02 | 0.06 | 82.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13:29 | 0.66 | 99.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:29 | 0.12 | 81.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:15 | 0.00 | 2.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:36 | 0.02 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:19 | 0.05 | 98.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:19 | 0.08 | 99.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 15 | 13 | 2 | .867 | 1.68 | −0.3 | 56:57 |