Sun, Apr 12, 2026·UBS Arena, Elmont
Montréal Canadiens 4, New York Islanders 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 52% of the time.
44%
8%
9%
39%
NYI winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26:16 | 0.01 | 25.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26:05 | 0.03 | 30.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 22:51 | 0.00 | 48.9% | +36.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:53 | 0.21 | 41.9% | +21.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:43 | 0.13 | 37.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 18:29 | 0.56 | 40.5% | +36.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:43 | 0.18 | 36.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:12 | 0.16 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:03 | 0.82 | 46.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:41 | 0.18 | 49.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 14:15 | 0.34 | 25.7% | +7.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 13:16 | 0.17 | 68.0% | +7.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:41 | 0.01 | 75.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:59 | 0.08 | 31.1% | +0.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:45 | 0.33 | 37.3% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 11:17 | 0.09 | 34.9% | +7.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:31 | 0.00 | 9.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 9:27 | 0.15 | 62.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 32 | 1 | .970 | 3.63 | +2.6 | 59:53 |
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 28:01 | 0.30 | 61.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 22:44 | 0.13 | 60.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 22:40 | 0.28 | 65.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 20:43 | 0.30 | 41.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:38 | 0.64 | 75.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:30 | 0.00 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:11 | 0.51 | 68.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:15 | 0.04 | 56.2% | +4.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:30 | 0.00 | 63.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:08 | 0.45 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:06 | 0.38 | 49.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:03 | 0.00 | 74.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:40 | 0.00 | 58.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:34 | 0.05 | 75.9% | +4.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:46 | 0.28 | 63.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:24 | 0.11 | 75.5% | +4.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:57 | 0.04 | 75.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:45 | 0.12 | 61.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 22 | 18 | 4 | .818 | 2.72 | −1.3 | 56:57 |