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Ice Lab

Mon, Apr 13, 2026·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Dallas Stars 6, Toronto Maple Leafs 5

Away

Dallas Stars

6

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 85% of the time.

TOR winsDAL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:12Shot by Cowan, saved by DeSmith
  3. P1 1:09Hyry: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Domi, Stecher, Robertson, Knies · DAL Benn, Myers, Lindell, Hryckowian, Hyry

  4. P1 1:23Shot by Bäck, saved by Akhtyamov5v4
  5. P1 2:14Goal by Tavares (Nylander)5v4+11 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, Knies, Cowan · DAL Myers, Blackwell, Faksa, Lindell

  6. P1 3:01Shot by Robertson, saved by Akhtyamov
  7. P1 8:45Rielly: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Lorentz, Stecher, Robertson, Quillan · DAL Duchene, Petrovic, Capobianco, Bäck, Harley

  8. P1 10:50Shot by Benn, saved by Akhtyamov
  9. P1 11:06Shot by Faksa, saved by Akhtyamov
  10. P1 11:40Shot by Robertson, saved by DeSmith
  11. P1 12:58Shot by Benoit, saved by DeSmith
  12. P1 14:34Shot by Lorentz, saved by DeSmith
  13. P1 14:35Goal by Quillan (Lorentz)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lorentz, Stecher, Benoit, Tverberg, Quillan · DAL Benn, Myers, Lindell, Hryckowian, Hyry

  14. P1 15:49Shot by McCabe, saved by DeSmith
  15. P1 15:51Goal by Nylander (McCabe, Benoit)+8 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, McCabe, Nylander, Benoit, Cowan · DAL Duchene, Petrovic, Capobianco, Robertson, Bourque

  16. P1 16:58Shot by Harley, saved by Akhtyamov
  17. P1 17:25Shot by Petrovic, saved by Akhtyamov
  18. P1 17:46Shot by Lorentz, saved by DeSmith
  19. P1 19:53Shot by Bourque, saved by Akhtyamov
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:41Shot by Bourque, saved by Akhtyamov
  23. P2 0:52Goal by Bourque, unassisted+8 pts WP

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Domi, Nylander, Benoit, Cowan · DAL Duchene, Lindell, Robertson, Harley, Bourque

  24. P2 2:19Shot by Haymes, saved by DeSmith
  25. P2 4:09Shot by Rantanen, saved by Akhtyamov
  26. P2 4:27Shot by Bourque, saved by Akhtyamov
  27. P2 4:30Shot by Bourque, saved by Akhtyamov
  28. P2 5:29Shot by Robertson, saved by Akhtyamov
  29. P2 5:31Goal by Bourque (Robertson, Duchene)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Jarnkrok, Rielly, Stecher, Maccelli, Haymes · DAL Duchene, Capobianco, Robertson, Harley, Bourque

  30. P2 5:39Benn: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Jarnkrok, Rielly, Stecher, Maccelli, Haymes · DAL Benn, Petrovic, Capobianco, Hryckowian, Hyry

  31. P2 6:04Shot by Tavares, saved by DeSmith5v4
  32. P2 6:56Shot by Knies, saved by DeSmith5v4
  33. P2 7:45Shot by Robertson, saved by DeSmith
  34. P2 8:25Shot by Quillan, saved by DeSmith
  35. P2 9:12Shot by Robertson, saved by Akhtyamov
  36. P2 9:29Goal by Robertson (Duchene, Bourque)+24 pts WP

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Nylander, Lorentz, Benoit, Quillan · DAL Myers, Duchene, Lindell, Robertson, Bourque

  37. P2 10:40Shot by Villeneuve, saved by DeSmith
  38. P2 11:08Shot by Hyry, saved by Akhtyamov
  39. P2 11:46Shot by Benoit, saved by DeSmith
  40. P2 15:38Shot by Bäck, saved by Akhtyamov
  41. P2 15:40Shot by Faksa, saved by Akhtyamov
  42. P2 15:44Shot by Capobianco, saved by Akhtyamov
  43. P2 18:01Tverberg: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Lorentz, Stecher, Tverberg, Quillan · DAL Bunting, Rantanen, Lyubushkin, Harley, Johnston

  44. P2 18:07Shot by Johnston, saved by Akhtyamov4v5
  45. P2 18:13Shot by Robertson, saved by Akhtyamov4v5
  46. P2 19:01Shot by Rielly, saved by DeSmith4v5
  47. P2 19:37Shot by Rantanen, saved by Akhtyamov4v5
  48. P2 19:53Shot by Johnston, saved by Akhtyamov4v5
  49. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 1:00Shot by Robertson, saved by DeSmith
  52. P3 1:40Goal by Domi (Nylander, Knies)+31 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Domi, Nylander, Villeneuve, Cowan · DAL Petrovic, Bunting, Capobianco, Bourque, Johnston

  53. P3 3:23Shot by Myers, saved by Akhtyamov
  54. P3 4:19Goal by Robertson (Stecher, Knies)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Domi, Stecher, Robertson, Knies · DAL Duchene, Robertson, Lyubushkin, Harley, Bourque

  55. P3 4:40Shot by Harley, saved by Akhtyamov
  56. P3 6:02Shot by Hryckowian, saved by Akhtyamov
  57. P3 6:37Lorentz: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Lorentz, Maccelli, Villeneuve, Quillan · DAL Rantanen, Bäck, Lyubushkin, Harley, Hyry

  58. P3 7:19Shot by Duchene, saved by Akhtyamov4v5
  59. P3 8:18Goal by Johnston (Rantanen, Harley)4v5+12 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Benoit, Quillan, Haymes · DAL Duchene, Rantanen, Robertson, Harley, Johnston

  60. P3 8:27Shot by Nylander, saved by DeSmith
  61. P3 8:41Shot by Villeneuve, saved by DeSmith
  62. P3 9:38Goal by Hyry, unassisted+37 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Domi, Stecher, Robertson, Knies · DAL Petrovic, Faksa, Capobianco, Bäck, Hyry

  63. P3 9:56Shot by Lyubushkin, saved by Akhtyamov
  64. P3 10:21Shot by Tavares, saved by DeSmith
  65. P3 10:31Shot by Nylander, saved by DeSmith
  66. P3 12:53Shot by Robertson, saved by DeSmith
  67. P3 12:58Shot by Stecher, saved by DeSmith
  68. P3 14:52Goal by Bourque (Duchene, Petrovic)+31 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, Benoit, Maccelli, Haymes · DAL Duchene, Petrovic, Capobianco, Robertson, Bourque

  69. P3 15:39Shot by Duchene, saved by Akhtyamov
  70. P3 16:43Shot by Robertson, saved by DeSmith
  71. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  72. P3 0:00Final6v5