Mon, Apr 13, 2026·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Dallas Stars 6, Toronto Maple Leafs 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 85% of the time.
10%
79%
TOR winsDAL wins
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 24:24 | 0.07 | 67.5% | +12.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:22 | 0.01 | 48.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:46 | 0.00 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 19:26 | 0.33 | 70.2% | +38.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:23 | 0.23 | 64.7% | +12.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 18:36 | 0.34 | 70.2% | +68.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 18:24 | 0.80 | 60.1% | +12.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:48 | 0.05 | 65.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:29 | 0.06 | 71.5% | +30.8 | |
| 3 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 7 | 15:56 | 0.83 | 63.7% | +76.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:57 | 0.01 | 79.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:27 | 0.02 | 71.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:20 | 0.12 | 58.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:04 | 0.02 | 34.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 12:51 | 0.26 | 88.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:44 | 1.27 | 67.3% | +37.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:34 | 0.00 | 65.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:24 | 0.13 | 38.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 27 | 22 | 5 | .815 | 2.22 | −2.8 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 2 | 3 | −1 | 3 | 22:50 | 0.13 | 32.8% | +50.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:30 | 0.00 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 21:14 | 0.06 | 34.8% | +8.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:10 | 0.13 | 42.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:03 | 0.38 | 44.7% | +10.9 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19:31 | 0.20 | 24.1% | +44.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:41 | 0.07 | 35.8% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:27 | 0.08 | 37.1% | +8.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:57 | 0.03 | 25.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:35 | 0.05 | 38.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:40 | 0.11 | 30.8% | +31.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14:32 | 0.58 | 29.2% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:19 | 0.06 | 40.5% | +12.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:26 | 0.14 | 53.3% | +12.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:02 | 0.21 | 33.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 11:51 | 0.00 | 46.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:22 | 0.00 | 38.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 9:04 | 0.00 | 78.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 32 | 27 | 6 | .844 | 4.56 | −1.4 | 59:05 |