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Ice Lab

Mon, Apr 13, 2026·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Dallas Stars 6, Toronto Maple Leafs 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 85% of the time.

TOR winsDAL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DAL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Duchene–Robertson–BourqueBunting–Rantanen–JohnstonBlackwell–Faksa–BäckBenn–Hryckowian–HyryFaksa–Bäck–HyryBenn–Blackwell–HryckowianMyers–LindellLyubushkin–HarleyPetrovic–CapobiancoPetrovic–HarleyMyers–PetrovicLindell–Capobianco
Tavares–Nylander–Cowan1:380.09–0.008:210.26–0.440:490.04–0.000:320.00–0.004:070.09–0.015:020.10–0.292:110.16–0.00
Domi–Robertson–Knies4:180.34–0.311:560.00–0.220:410.00–0.180:500.09–1.000:440.00–0.004:160.25–0.003:120.23–0.272:190.09–1.19
Lorentz–Tverberg–Quillan1:240.00–0.001:500.00–0.001:200.16–0.000:400.00–0.001:150.15–0.002:150.00–0.001:240.01–0.000:440.00–0.00
Jarnkrok–Maccelli–Haymes0:440.00–0.220:470.00–0.000:390.04–0.002:090.22–0.000:390.00–0.001:160.14–0.002:560.04–0.000:360.07–0.00
Domi–Robertson–Maccelli0:530.00–0.020:400.00–0.00
Lorentz–Maccelli–Quillan0:430.00–0.000:380.00–0.00
Lorentz–Tverberg–Haymes0:350.03–0.000:480.03–0.00
McCabe–Benoit4:260.22–0.366:170.07–0.391:160.07–0.000:440.01–0.004:580.10–0.163:570.00–0.282:590.23–0.000:390.04–0.06
Ekman-Larsson–Villeneuve1:060.03–0.181:030.03–0.052:230.00–0.222:180.23–0.180:550.00–0.001:270.00–0.023:550.24–0.003:390.03–0.223:290.11–0.200:370.00–0.050:410.07–0.06
Rielly–Stecher4:320.17–0.261:160.00–0.031:360.00–0.001:200.00–0.001:390.09–1.002:560.10–0.005:060.15–0.072:200.09–1.010:530.18–0.00
McCabe–Stecher1:020.06–0.000:320.03–0.00
Rielly–Villeneuve
Ekman-Larsson–Benoit0:590.00–0.28
Ekman-Larsson–Rielly0:320.03–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndCowan FNylander FTavares FDomi FKnies FRobertson FMaccelli FTverberg FHaymes FJarnkrok FLorentz FQuillan FBenoit DMcCabe DRielly DStecher DEkman-Larsson DVilleneuve DAkhtyamov GJohnston FBunting FRantanen FHryckowian FBenn FHyry FBäck FFaksa FBlackwell FRobertson FBourque FDuchene FCapobianco DPetrovic DMyers DLindell DLyubushkin DHarley DDeSmith G
TORDALFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Thomas HarleyDAL2324:241:042:4314
William NylanderTOR2222:501:022:0742
Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR2422:300:561:4832
Esa LindellDAL2021:221:041:5313
Jake McCabeTOR2521:140:511:2716
Tyler MyersDAL2220:460:571:3234
Easton CowanTOR2120:100:582:1752
John TavaresTOR2120:030:572:1852
Matthew KniesTOR2019:310:592:1724
Jason RobertsonDAL1819:261:051:5943
Mikko RantanenDAL1819:231:052:4332
Troy StecherTOR2418:410:471:4813
Matt DucheneDAL1818:361:021:5933
Simon BenoitTOR2318:270:481:2603
Wyatt JohnstonDAL1718:241:052:4251
Morgan RiellyTOR2517:570:431:3012
Ilya LyubushkinDAL2216:480:461:5103
William VilleneuveTOR2016:350:501:2111
Alexander PetrovicDAL2016:290:491:4121
Mavrik BourqueDAL1815:560:531:2012
Kyle CapobiancoDAL2314:570:391:2720
Max DomiTOR1814:400:491:1013
Nick RobertsonTOR1914:320:461:0913
Oskar BäckDAL1814:270:481:1615
Michael BuntingDAL1614:200:541:2841
Steven LorentzTOR1413:190:571:4611
Justin HryckowianDAL1913:040:411:1711
Radek FaksaDAL1912:510:411:1415
Arttu HyryDAL1912:440:401:0913
Colin BlackwellDAL1512:340:501:1811
Jacob QuillanTOR1412:260:531:2611
Luke HaymesTOR1512:020:481:1112
Matias MaccelliTOR1411:510:511:2301
Jamie BennDAL1810:240:350:5210
Calle JarnkrokTOR139:220:431:0203
Ryan TverbergTOR129:040:451:2910