Tue, Apr 14, 2026·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Colorado Avalanche 3, Calgary Flames 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 81% of the time.
13%
76%
CGY winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 4 | 25:35 | 0.44 | 69.4% | +60.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 22:36 | 1.00 | 55.8% | +4.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22:17 | 0.27 | 63.2% | +25.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:12 | 0.02 | 49.1% | +31.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 21:08 | 1.08 | 64.5% | +4.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:36 | 0.06 | 69.4% | +25.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:29 | 0.00 | 44.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 16:57 | 0.52 | 42.9% | +31.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:18 | 0.06 | 31.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:55 | 0.09 | 35.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:28 | 0.06 | 65.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:45 | 0.07 | 67.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:34 | 0.19 | 83.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12:19 | 0.41 | 92.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:48 | 0.12 | 81.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:13 | 0.09 | 72.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:44 | 0.16 | 75.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:31 | 0.12 | 64.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 30 | 1 | .968 | 2.55 | +1.6 | 59:35 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 24:26 | 0.05 | 29.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:34 | 0.00 | 36.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 22:21 | 0.16 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:44 | 0.32 | 35.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 16:45 | 0.38 | 41.8% | +23.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:37 | 0.00 | 63.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 16:36 | 0.19 | 54.3% | +23.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:03 | 0.21 | 46.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:52 | 0.21 | 42.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:51 | 0.00 | 8.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:22 | 0.06 | 21.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:12 | 0.00 | 40.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:48 | 0.38 | 52.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:36 | 0.00 | 36.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:41 | 0.03 | 38.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 12:18 | 0.17 | 41.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:59 | 0.10 | 42.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 10:54 | 0.30 | 50.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 37 | 35 | 2 | .946 | 3.95 | +1.9 | 59:25 |