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Ice Lab

Wed, Apr 15, 2026·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Ottawa Senators 3

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

1

Final

Home

Ottawa Senators

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 90% of the time.

OTT winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:36Shot by Giroux, saved by Hildeby
  3. P1 2:19Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Reimer
  4. P1 3:06Shot by Zub, saved by Hildeby
  5. P1 3:31Shot by Thomson, saved by Hildeby
  6. P1 4:00Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Hildeby
  7. P1 5:23Shot by Giroux, saved by Hildeby
  8. P1 5:44Haymes: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT MacDermid, Crotty, Cozens, Greig, Matinpalo · TOR McCabe, Lorentz, Benoit, Maccelli, Haymes

  9. P1 5:48Shot by Pinto, saved by Hildeby5v4
  10. P1 6:04Goal by Batherson (Giroux, Spence)5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Batherson, Cozens, Pinto, Spence · TOR McCabe, Lorentz, Stecher, Knies

  11. P1 7:18Shot by Domi, saved by Reimer
  12. P1 8:20Shot by Nylander, saved by Reimer
  13. P1 8:38Shot by Spence, saved by Hildeby
  14. P1 8:40Shot by Halliday, saved by Hildeby
  15. P1 11:22Shot by Giroux, saved by Hildeby
  16. P1 12:42Shot by McCabe, saved by Reimer
  17. P1 14:39Shot by Pinto, saved by Hildeby
  18. P1 15:22Shot by Cozens, saved by Hildeby
  19. P1 15:57Shot by Maccelli, saved by Reimer
  20. P1 16:21Shot by Stecher, saved by Reimer
  21. P1 17:58Shot by Hodgson, saved by Hildeby
  22. P1 18:53Zub: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Cousins, Hodgson, Thomson, Pinto, Zub · TOR McCabe, Lorentz, Benoit, Maccelli, Haymes

  23. P1 19:34Shot by Foegele, saved by Hildeby4v5
  24. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 3:24Shot by Spence, saved by Hildeby
  27. P2 3:44Shot by Thomson, saved by Hildeby
  28. P2 4:46Shot by Cowan, saved by Reimer
  29. P2 5:01Shot by Lorentz, saved by Reimer
  30. P2 5:40Shot by Giroux, saved by Hildeby
  31. P2 8:44Shot by Zub, saved by Hildeby
  32. P2 9:00Shot by Haymes, saved by Reimer
  33. P2 10:51Greig: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT MacDermid, Crotty, Cozens, Greig, Matinpalo · TOR McCabe, Pezzetta, Benoit, Tverberg, Quillan

  34. P2 12:11Shot by Pinto, saved by Hildeby4v5
  35. P2 12:37Shot by Rielly, saved by Reimer4v5
  36. P2 13:01Shot by Cowan, saved by Reimer
  37. P2 14:03Shot by Zub, saved by Hildeby
  38. P2 14:18Shot by Halliday, saved by Hildeby
  39. P2 15:56Shot by Domi, saved by Reimer
  40. P2 16:38Cowan: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Eller, Foegele, Crotty, Zetterlund, Matinpalo · TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, Villeneuve, Cowan

  41. P2 17:19Shot by Cozens, saved by Hildeby5v4
  42. P2 18:11Shot by Thomson, saved by Hildeby5v4
  43. P2 18:32Goal by Foegele (Thomson, Zetterlund)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Foegele, Zetterlund, Thomson, Greig, Halliday · TOR McCabe, Lorentz, Benoit, Quillan

  44. P2 19:34Shot by Cousins, saved by Hildeby
  45. P2 19:37Ekman-Larsson: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Eller, Cousins, Hodgson, Zub, Matinpalo · TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, Villeneuve, Cowan

  46. P2 19:58Shot by Giroux, saved by Hildeby5v4
  47. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 1:35Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Hildeby5v4
  50. P3 2:23Shot by Nylander, saved by Reimer
  51. P3 2:31Shot by Cozens, saved by Hildeby
  52. P3 2:48Shot by MacDermid, saved by Hildeby
  53. P3 2:49Shot by MacDermid, saved by Hildeby
  54. P3 3:05Shot by Batherson, saved by Hildeby
  55. P3 3:55Shot by Maccelli, saved by Reimer
  56. P3 4:06Shot by Crotty, saved by Hildeby
  57. P3 4:11Shot by Cousins, saved by Hildeby
  58. P3 5:08Shot by Benoit, saved by Reimer
  59. P3 7:36Shot by Cousins, saved by Hildeby
  60. P3 8:11Goal by Nylander (Quillan, Cowan)+12 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Eller, Cousins, Hodgson, Crotty, Zub · TOR Rielly, Nylander, Stecher, Cowan, Quillan

  61. P3 8:48Shot by Tverberg, saved by Reimer
  62. P3 10:19Shot by Zub, saved by Hildeby
  63. P3 11:26Shot by Stecher, saved by Reimer
  64. P3 13:40Shot by Knies, saved by Reimer
  65. P3 14:44Shot by Benoit, saved by Reimer
  66. P3 16:01Shot by Giroux, saved by Hildeby
  67. P3 16:29Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Hildeby
  68. P3 19:54Goal by Cozens (Pinto, Giroux)5v6+3 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Cozens, Pinto, Zub, Matinpalo · TOR Rielly, Nylander, Lorentz, Robertson, Maccelli, Knies

  69. P3 0:00Period end
  70. P3 0:00Final