Wed, Apr 15, 2026·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Ottawa Senators 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 90% of the time.
86%
OTT winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:04 | 0.01 | 25.2% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:28 | 0.44 | 46.9% | +12.2 |
 Easton CowanRW · #53 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:17 | 0.18 | 41.1% | +12.2 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:05 | 0.16 | 39.8% | 0.0 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:03 | 0.07 | 61.1% | 0.0 |
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:35 | 0.03 | 38.9% | 0.0 |
 Troy StecherD · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:09 | 0.08 | 45.7% | 0.0 |
 Simon BenoitD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:23 | 0.10 | 35.7% | 0.0 |
 Matthew KniesLW · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:39 | 0.17 | 33.8% | 0.0 |
 William VilleneuveD · #76 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:39 | 0.00 | 38.5% | 0.0 |
 Steven LorentzC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:22 | 0.05 | 41.5% | 0.0 |
 Luke HaymesC · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:44 | 0.00 | 41.4% | 0.0 |
 Matias MaccelliLW · #63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:29 | 0.08 | 41.5% | 0.0 |
 Max DomiC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:05 | 0.13 | 35.2% | 0.0 |
 Nick RobertsonLW · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:03 | 0.00 | 33.8% | 0.0 |
 Jacob QuillanC · #26 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:51 | 0.09 | 44.8% | +12.2 |
 Ryan TverbergC · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:40 | 0.12 | 30.5% | 0.0 |
 Michael PezzettaLW · #61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:02 | 0.00 | 45.2% | 0.0 |
 Dennis Hildeby#35 | L | 37 | 35 | 2 | .946 | 3.46 | +1.5 | 58:08 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jordan SpenceD · #10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23:22 | 0.07 | 75.0% | +11.7 |
 Artem ZubD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22:13 | 0.11 | 63.7% | 0.0 |
 Cameron CrottyD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:53 | 0.02 | 44.3% | 0.0 |
 Nikolas MatinpaloD · #33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:39 | 0.00 | 49.6% | 0.0 |
 Dylan CozensC · #24 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 18:35 | 1.09 | 84.8% | +2.7 |
 Shane PintoC · #12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:00 | 0.33 | 51.1% | +2.7 |
 Lassi ThomsonD · #60 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:23 | 0.18 | 60.2% | +13.8 |
 Claude GirouxRW · #28 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 17:12 | 0.47 | 76.5% | +14.4 |
 Ridly GreigC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:10 | 0.15 | 62.4% | 0.0 |
 Drake BathersonRW · #19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:08 | 0.47 | 71.5% | +11.7 |
 Warren FoegeleLW · #37 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:11 | 0.50 | 37.7% | +13.8 |
 Dennis GilbertD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:32 | 0.00 | 63.1% | 0.0 |
 Lars EllerC · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:28 | 0.13 | 32.1% | 0.0 |
 Nick CousinsC · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:56 | 0.34 | 55.2% | 0.0 |
 Stephen HallidayC · #83 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:42 | 0.06 | 69.5% | 0.0 |
 Hayden HodgsonRW · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:00 | 0.03 | 47.7% | 0.0 |
 Fabian ZetterlundLW · #20 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12:51 | 0.39 | 43.6% | +13.8 |
 Kurtis MacDermidLW · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:45 | 0.18 | 89.5% | 0.0 |
 James Reimer#47 | W | 20 | 19 | 1 | .950 | 1.70 | +0.7 | 60:00 |