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Ice Lab

Tue, Sep 29, 2026·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Montréal Canadiens 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2

Away

Montréal Canadiens

3

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 58% of the time.

TOR winsMTL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:13Shot by Roslovic, saved by Dobes
  3. P1 0:48Goal by Nylander (Rielly, Marchenko)+12 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Raddysh, Marchenko · MTL Matheson, Suzuki, Dobson, Caufield, Demidov

  4. P1 2:54Shot by Kreider, saved by Bobrovsky
  5. P1 3:03Shot by Matthews, saved by Dobes
  6. P1 3:57Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Dobes
  7. P1 6:12Shot by Matthews, saved by Dobes
  8. P1 6:55Shot by Raddysh, saved by Dobes
  9. P1 8:33Paul: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Sissons, Paul, Stecher, Cowan · MTL Danault, Texier, Dach, Struble, Xhekaj

  10. P1 9:43Shot by Slafkovský, saved by Bobrovsky4v5
  11. P1 10:50Shot by Anderson, saved by Bobrovsky
  12. P1 10:53Goal by Anderson (Carrier, Dach)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Paul, Nylander, Raddysh, Matthews · MTL Danault, Matheson, Anderson, Carrier, Dach

  13. P1 11:42Demidov: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Raddysh, Roslovic, Matthews, Stecher, Marchenko · MTL Carrier, Newhook, Hutson, Slafkovský, Demidov

  14. P1 12:39Shot by Nylander, saved by Dobes5v4
  15. P1 12:46Shot by Tavares, saved by Dobes5v4
  16. P1 14:50Shot by Matheson, saved by Bobrovsky
  17. P1 16:12Shot by Slafkovský, saved by Bobrovsky
  18. P1 17:33Shot by Suzuki, saved by Bobrovsky
  19. P1 18:14Shot by Caufield, saved by Bobrovsky
  20. P1 18:28Shot by Marchenko, saved by Dobes
  21. P1 18:29Shot by Raddysh, saved by Dobes
  22. P1 18:30Shot by Raddysh, saved by Dobes
  23. P1 19:38Shot by Anderson, saved by Bobrovsky
  24. P1 19:54Shot by Dach, saved by Bobrovsky
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:17Shot by Marchenko, saved by Dobes
  28. P2 0:37Shot by Bolduc, saved by Bobrovsky
  29. P2 1:03Shot by McKenna, saved by Dobes
  30. P2 1:48Shot by McCabe, saved by Dobes
  31. P2 3:23Shot by Tanev, saved by Dobes
  32. P2 4:24Shot by Dobson, saved by Bobrovsky
  33. P2 4:30Shot by Rielly, saved by Dobes
  34. P2 4:52Goal by Bolduc (Matheson, Anderson)+17 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Raddysh, McKenna · MTL Matheson, Anderson, Evans, Dobson, Bolduc

  35. P2 11:13Shot by Tavares, saved by Dobes
  36. P2 11:53Shot by Matheson, saved by Bobrovsky
  37. P2 12:10Shot by Caufield, saved by Bobrovsky
  38. P2 12:54Shot by Newhook, saved by Bobrovsky
  39. P2 12:56McCabe: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tanev, Blueger, McCabe, Duhaime, MacEwen · MTL Struble, Newhook, Hutson, Slafkovský, Demidov

  40. P2 12:56Newhook: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tanev, Blueger, McCabe, Duhaime, MacEwen · MTL Struble, Newhook, Hutson, Slafkovský, Demidov

  41. P2 13:08Shot by Matheson, saved by Bobrovsky4v4
  42. P2 13:48Shot by Carrier, saved by Bobrovsky4v4
  43. P2 17:45Caufield: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tanev, Sissons, McCabe, Paul, Cowan · MTL Kreider, Suzuki, Dobson, Caufield, Hutson

  44. P2 0:00Period end
  45. P3 0:00Period start
  46. P3 0:21Shot by Marchenko, saved by Dobes
  47. P3 1:24Shot by Nylander, saved by Dobes
  48. P3 2:45Shot by Blueger, saved by Dobes
  49. P3 3:39Shot by Roslovic, saved by Dobes
  50. P3 4:05Shot by Nylander, saved by Dobes
  51. P3 4:22Shot by Carrier, saved by Bobrovsky
  52. P3 5:34Shot by Cowan, saved by Dobes
  53. P3 6:30Shot by Evans, saved by Bobrovsky
  54. P3 7:01Ekman-Larsson: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR Tavares, McCabe, Nylander, Matthews, Stecher · MTL Suzuki, Dobson, Caufield, Hutson, Slafkovský, Demidov

  55. P3 7:27Shot by Caufield, saved by Bobrovsky4v5
  56. P3 7:46Shot by Demidov, saved by Bobrovsky4v5
  57. P3 9:16Texier: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tanev, Rielly, McCabe, Nylander, Matthews · MTL Danault, Matheson, Texier, Dobson, Bolduc

  58. P3 9:29Shot by Tavares, saved by Dobes5v4
  59. P3 9:33Shot by Tavares, saved by Dobes5v4
  60. P3 11:35Shot by Suzuki, saved by Bobrovsky
  61. P3 13:12Goal by Carrier, unassisted+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Raddysh, McKenna · MTL Danault, Carrier, Texier, Dach, Hutson

  62. P3 15:12Shot by Marchenko, saved by Dobes
  63. P3 15:46Goal by Nylander (Cowan, Tavares)+12 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, Stecher, Cowan · MTL Danault, Carrier, Texier, Dach, Hutson

  64. P3 19:09Shot by Matthews, saved by Dobes6v5
  65. P3 0:00Tavares: Roughing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Nylander, Raddysh, Matthews, Marchenko, Cowan · MTL Danault, Matheson, Anderson, Evans, Carrier

  66. P3 0:00Period end
  67. P3 0:00Final